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Gustav Downgraded to a Category 1 Hurricane The latest advisory on Hurricane Gustav now has it as a category 1 hurricane with winds sustained right around the center at 90 mph. The center of Gustav was located as of 2pm at 29.9 N and 91.5 W about 35 miles SE of Lafayette, LA. Movement was to the NW at 16 mph. This storm is expected to continue on its northwest heading right into the Ark-La-Tex. Copious amounts of rain are expected to our northeast as the storm bypasses us to the north. Yesterday, models indicated that the storm may stall out over east Texas and then move in a southwesterly direction. Indications are this afternoon that the storm will continue to move to the northwest and eventually re-curve into the Midwest. If anything, conditions around the Brazos Valley may turn out to be quite pleasant. We're still going to keep a slight chance of rain in the forecast...just in case. We'll continue to update the blog as we know more. Blake Mathews
Hurricane Gustav made landfall Monday morning southwest of New Orleans near Cocodire, LA. Maximum winds were at 110 mph, making it a category 2 storm at landfall. New Orleans was on the eastern or "dirty" side of the storm, where some of the worst conditions could be felt. Six to ten inches of rain, along with high storm surges and tornadoes are being felt across eastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi.
Rodney Harris
As Hurricane Gustav moves closer to land, rain chances across the Brazos Valley are starting to sharpen up a bit. The storm is forecast to make a westward turn into Texas once it makes landfall. By the time it arrives, it will be substantially weaker and should only be a rain-maker for the Lone Star State. As is stands now, the best chances for rain will be in the northeastern portions of the News 3 viewing area. We have Houston and Trinity counties down for an 80% chance of rain on Tuesday and Wednesday. The rain chances are slightly lower westward at 60% for Leon, Madison, Grimes, Walker, San Jacinto, Montgomery and Waller counties. The lowest rain chances will be from Bryan/College Station westward. We have Brazos, Robertson, Milam, Burleson, Washington, Austin and Lee counties penciled in with a 40% of rain Tuesday and Wednesday. While the general rule will be higher rain chances east and northeastward, don't be too surprised if your forecast is modified over the next few days. A small change in the track of Gustav can produce significant changes in your forecast. Rodney Harris Gustave Becomes Category Four Storm The National Hurricane Center issued an advisory Saturday afternoon confirming maximum winds up to 145 mph in Hurricane Gustav, making it the first category four storm to develop in the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane season. Also of note: the forecast track has also shifted westward a bit. Rodney Harris
Friday Morning Update: Gustav is moving northwestward through the Caribbean. The storm will move into the warmer waters of the northwestern Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico this weekend, which will result in rapid strengthening. The latest coordinates are suggesting the storm moving more westward, which may result in the forecast track shifting westward as well. Pictured right is the latest forecast track. The white line represents the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center. Rodney Harris
A special advisory was issued by the National Hurricane Center Thursday morning to upgrade the maximum winds in Gustav to 70 mph. The storm should become a hurricane -- again -- later today. The official track has also shifted back to the west, putting the Texas coast back into the region that could see a potential landfall. I should also stress, however, the the official track is still towards the Louisiana coast. We have modified your forecast slightly for the beginning of next week with increasing clouds on Tuesday and Wednesday. We'll probably see a spike in temperatures by Sunday, as the sinking air around Gustav will create warmer conditions once the storm approaches. We're keeping your rain chances pretty low for now, until confidence increases with the eventual path of the Gustav. Rodney Harris Original Entry: Amongst the extended coverage from most news organizations highlighting the return of the educational process we call school, Mother Nature didn't quite appreciate being thrown in the backseat. So she created Gustav! The tropical depression in the Caribbean was officially upgraded to the seventh named storm of the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season Monday afternoon. The quick intensification of the storm was evident on satellite imagery Monday morning. A semi-well defined eye was even spotted during the 12 o'clock newscast. Maximum winds in the storm are at 60 mph, with higher gusts. Gustav is forecast to track northwestward, bringing plenty of rain to Jamaica and Haiti. The storm is forecast to track south of Florida by the weekend, but at this point, the weekend is too far away for anyone to say for sure whether or not the storm will track into the Gulf of Mexico. Stay tuned... |
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Posted by: glen Location: mntgomery tx
does bryan how power and gas for we have none and need gas Posted by: Aggie Location: BCS 7:35 am Need to add time/date stamp to blog comments and to blog posted by weather staff please. Posted by: Budro Location: Smetana Only in B/CS could a catagory 5 hurricane pass overhead and we wouldn't get much more than a drop or rain. It's been awful high and dry under the Aggie Dome this summer. The few inches rain we did get, wasn't even from the gulf. Posted by: Anna Location: Texas America is epic. Posted by: Anonymous America is so epic. Posted by: Hurricane Bob Location: CS Hurricane of the century....c'mon-the forcasters were right on the money-------Everybody presses the panic button too soon....you never know till it hits-but they were right on with this one.....Kudos to them----and New Orleans---We wasted millions rebuilding that hell-hole-----should have been rebuilt north of Lake Ponchetrain(sp) SOME DAY the REAL BIG ONE will demolish that swamp...Does anyone not understand that in the modern era you do not rebuild a swamp?? It was OK before we knew better......... Posted by: Anonymous Location: cadlwell Why would anyone think that a catagory 5 hurricane right here would be a dream for Bob French ? I hope that was just a bad joke. My family has only meet Mr.French one time when he gerously entertained our school.we feel like we know him because he is alway supporting the Brazos Valley at many diffrent events.My goodness we are suppose to worring about the threat of a hurricane not downing our meterologist. Keep doing the job you do KBTX 3 Thanks for trying to keep our family safe. Posted by: Eric Location: BCS We just dodged a bullet here. I'm glad the forcast changed for this area. If this system was to stall over our area, we would ALL need boats. Posted by: Lisa Location: Madisonville I'm wondering if we should have a wind advisory here. The wind is really high. I know people are concered about Louisianna and Mississippi, but don't forget about Texas. We need updates for our area, instead of what percent we have of getting rain. How about wind we can expect, how much rain we can expect. Maybe locations people should go to if they are in low lying areas. I'd hate to see a Texas County or City get flooded, and people die due to no reports of what to be expected. I know they don't want mass hysteria behind something that may not happen. But some people would like to be prepared. Posted by: wake-up Location: texas wake-up people! when are you going to finally realize that the new orleans area is NOT to be rebuilt. Posted by: Wes Location: Edge To: Brandon Dude neither one of your posts make any sense at all, what are you trying to say? I can't believe we are not going to get more out of it than this, the way it looks on satelite it cover the whole state of texas. Posted by: Anonymous Location: Texas All I can say is if you live in the golf (Texas) get out NOW the weather channel dont tell you everything.. Posted by: Anonymous we dodged another bullet. just like rita, b/cs will barely feel the effects of gustav Posted by: Kristina Location: Navasota Texas could take the hit from this hurricane before New Orleans could. I have a sister that lives in Mississippi and they are leaving. All I can say is god help whomever it hits because it is going to be a big one. Remember after it is over help whoever you can recover from this because they will need. Posted by: Bekka Location: College Station We see other cities preparing for Gustav..what can we expect here in the B/CS area as far as weather goes? Are there plans in place in case WE need to evacuate to safe places? Posted by: Howard Location: Huntsville Gustav has the potential to be the storm of the century. If it hits the Houston/Galveston area as a catagory 5 storm the devastion will be severe. Posted by: Chris Location: Texas Our Gas prices should not effect us so soon since we get our fuel from overseas. We will get lots of rain I am certain, however I pray the tornadoes stay away. We lost our home in Mississippi and it would be a horrible situation as well if it would happen in our neck of the woods. Quick advice.....always keep water in freezer, say a few milk jugs of water, these came in hand during Katrina, and also crackers, peanut butter and MRE's were awesome. God Bless Posted by: BRANDON Location: HEMPSTEAD/ WORK BEVILLIE SEALY I LIKE NOT HURRICANE CENTER ISSUED AN ADVISORY GUSTAV IN TEXAS/LA UP DATE HURRICANE GUSTAV IN UP DATE HURRICANE GUSTAV Posted by: Roger Location: Texas So why,with a category 5 hurricane hitting tomorrow, do we not see stories about preparing for hurricanes? Does taping windows do anything? How should plywood be applied for the most protection? How long might electricity be out for? Will grocery stores close or remain open? Some have generators to run freezers. Will cash registers run? How long will traffic lights be out? Who should gas leaks be reported to? Who should water outages be checked with? If electricity goes out will media continue broadcasting? Trash pick up? If police are directing traffic will they also be free to investigate accidents? If not how should accidents be handled? Will colleges and schools be open? What shelters will be open for residents? If FEMA is involved how will we know? If one needs help does one apply to the Salvation Army, Red Cross, Fema, County Judge, Governor, someone else? Who should be called for tree blocked roads, downed power lines, backed up sewers? Which places are still selling gas after Posted by: Eric Location: College Station Gustav is going to eventually take a western turn. The question is does this happen after it's made landfall or before? It think we can be assured that this will likely affect our weather either way. Posted by: brandon Location: hempstead/ sealy i like tropical strom gutav is bad in texas brandon Posted by: Hank Location: Leon County I'm not going to go out & spend a bunch of money on water, can goods, etc. until I know where it is going. Been there, done that. Posted by: Anonymous "The way I see it, it could do another Rita and turn right before it hits land." Ya just HAD to say it! 5 am Friday, and they moved the highest probability to WEST Louisiana... Posted by: Ashley Location: Millican The way I see it, it could do another Rita and turn right before it hits land. All we can is wait and see. But wherever it hits, if it's big enough I'll probably get called to go down there. Until it gets here, we'll never know exactly where it's goin to hit. And no I dont think Bob will be satisfied til we have a hurricane come down Texas Ave. either. Bob your the best Posted by: John Location: College Station I'm starting to think that we're going to get lucky and the computers goofed on this one; it keeps drifting further south of their predicted track and not intensifying. Based on my gut, I think it'll hit and break up over the Yucatan. Now we'll see if I'm smarter than the weatherman... Posted by: g.t. Location: Huntsville If a storm does come down tex. ave. in BCS i'll bet bob French wiuld be right in the station reporting it all the way ... go bob go..you are the best.... Posted by: GasPriceWatcher "Disruption of drilling in the gulf by a hurricane will not affect gas prices for at least 10 years" But pulling all the crews off and shutting down the production platforms for safety and to avoid possible spills, as well as turning back all the tankers that might find themselves in the path of the storm puts the refineries in Mississippi, Louisana, AND Texas out of business for 2 to 4 days, even if the storm never gets within a hundred miles of them. So we'll have to see how much inventory they have on hand... Posted by: Not2Worry Disruption of drilling in the gulf by a hurricane will not affect gas prices for at least 10 years (so we're told by democrats), so relax! Posted by: Anonymous All Hands On Deck, Prepare to repel boarders!!! If Gustav follows anywhere near it's projected path, we're going to have half of New Orleans here in Texas by Monday, cause nobody is going to take a chance on another Katrina, even if this one finally hits Pensacola or Beaumont. Added to the "normal" labor day traffic, we're gonna be gridlocked, so don't plan on going anywhere over the holiday... Posted by: R Bricker: I will take you up on that $20. I will even give you 2:1 odds, when I win that will buy me a whole 10 gallons of diesel...as for John, hurricanes in the gulf, or for anywhere in the world for that matter, should have little effect upon gas prices. I know that in the way we function they do, but that is just because our economy is so screwed up! That is, in relation to the way the rest of the world functions. We have allowed this dependency upon fuel to happen to us, considering the nation as a whole. Posted by: BJ Location: Gause About Bob. I have watched him for years and like him. Hurricanes are awesome, dangerous, and not completely predictable. They are a major weather event. Frankly, what I'd like to know is what the mayor of New Orleans is doing right now besides packing his own bag. Posted by: Eric Location: BCS Funny, gas prices take SOOO long to come down when the market cools, but it will shoot up fast when the market heats up. We'll see high gas prices by this time next b/c of the hurricane. Then it wont come down till mid-Spetember. I hope we dont get hit head on by this hurricane, instead, just get much needed rain. Posted by: Shanna Location: Bryan Well in case that storm does come this way I will be ready with lots of bottled water and the gas cans will be filled to help until the gas price goes back down. Make sure that you have anything that you might need on hand should that Hurricane find its way here. I am not taking any chances and waiting to stock up a few days before the storm hits(if it comes this way) I don't want to wait in the lines for water and canned foods and have to fight the crowds then run the risk of there not being anything left. Posted by: Bricker 20 bucks says the eye comes within 50 miles of New Orleans. Posted by: John Location: Bryan In looking at the projected track of Gustav, I suppose we can really look forward to a wipeout of the small decrease in gas prices..since even a hint of a hurricane in the Gulf gets the trader's juices flowing. Posted by: Hurricane Bob Location: CS Does anyone else get the feeling that Bob French will not be satisfied or have his dream fulfilled until we have a Category 5 hurricane pass right down Tex Avenue? |
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