“Last year we were, the fertilizer prices were somewhat steady. They’d just started going up in the latter part of the year. Fuel, we were getting used to the high prices of fuel, but I think hay prices this year are going to top last year’s, even with the shortages. We’re looking at maybe $3 diesel before too long.”
Hay producer Mike Kristynik says steep increases in inputs plus strong demand usually equal price increases.
“There’s just not any hay. I think demand is going to have something to do with that. You’re looking at $15 to $20 possibly in just fertilizer alone. Add that to the cost of getting it baled, so I think the day for $30 round bales is long gone.”
Producers need to make as much hay as they can.
“I think people are not only going to make what they need for their cattle, but then also try and get some carry over too. I think the demand is going to exceed supply again this year.”
And a warning to hay buyers.
“Buying it from folks that are cleaning up pastures, had a little fertilizer out a couple of months ago, and the hay got away from the cows and now they want to go in there and clean that up. They’ll be able to sell it at an attractive price, but the quality, it’s not going to be there.”
It may look good, but…….
“If quality is important to you, you can’t just go on a visual appraisal. It’s always best to get a test on it.”
I’m Joe Brown, looking at Brazos Valley agriculture, From the Ground Up.