MARCH 8th, 2018 -- A flip flop of weather is expected for the Brazos Valley over the next 48 to 72 hours. Next cold front to reach the area arrives along with the time change early Sunday morning.
This week has brought us a wild ride of temperatures -- starting with near record highs in the mid-80s Monday to a struggle to crack 60° Wednesday.
High pressure has shoved east of Texas, directing a south to southeasterly wind back in. That wind will increase the clouds & moisture, aid in a chance for rain, and nudge thermometers back to the 80°+ mark by Saturday.
Do not settle into that 80° weather. Our next cold front will drive highs back to the 60s for the second half of the weekend. More on that in a bit...
Rain chance back in the forecast? Sure. Is it a good one? Not at all.
Starting Friday afternoon -- say 2pm or so -- a chance for passing areas of drizzle to a light shower will be possible (10%). Anything that manages to develop is expected to remain light through the evening hours and leave very little to (more likely) no accumulation behind.
Friday night into the pre-sunrise hours of Saturday the Brazos Valley will fall into a more favorable position / set up under the jet stream to help produce scattered areas of rain to the small potential for a few rumbles of thunder. The best chance to find passing rain is now through mid-morning / midday Saturday (30%).
By Saturday afternoon. drier air is moving in and the more likely chance for rain and storms -- some severe -- will have moved east and northeast of our backyard. The atmosphere becomes "capped" which will likely hinder any rain or thunderstorms as the actual cold front sweeps in pre-sunrise Sunday.
Post cold front? There is one nagging outlier that suggests a passing disturbance could bring rain to close out the weekend -- so we have to leave a pessimistic 20% in the forecast.
Otherwise, hold on tight -- literally.
Winds are expected out of the north and northwest at 15-25mph, with gusts upwards of 30-35mph at times. That will hold afternoon highs to the mid-60s.