Unusual Reformation of Ivan

Radar image of Ivan from September 14th
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Tropical Storm Ivan has reformed in the Gulf of Mexico, a highly unusual move that proves you can't always accurately predict what hurricanes will do, says a Texas A&M University storms expert.

Courtney Schumacher, assistant professor of atmospheric sciences
and a tropical storms expert, says the remnants of what once were
Hurricane Ivan have reformed in the gulf and could threaten the
Texas coast by tonight.

"It's unusual because the surface circulation of Ivan got
detached and broke away and now it's reshaped itself into another
storm," Schumacher says.

"It's been sheared apart once it crossed over land last week and
now has taken shape again. You don't see that very often."

Weather experts say Ivan could pack as much as 60 mile per hour
winds and rainfall amounts could be 10 inches or more in some

"If it stalls over Texas, like tropical storm Allison did a few
years ago, the rainfall amounts could be high," Schumacher says.

"The best scenario is if Ivan keeps moving so it won't dump as
much rain than if it stalls."

Coastal tides are expected to be higher and tropical storm
warnings have been issued for most of the upper Texas coastline.

Ivan was a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 130 miles per hour
and struck the Florida coastline a week ago. It moved northeast
through Georgia, Virginia and North Carolina before taking a turn
to the Atlantic Ocean, where it did a complete circle and started
reforming in the Gulf of Mexico several days ago.

Ivan was responsible for 70 deaths in the Caribbean and 52 in the
U.S. Most of the fatalities were due to flooding from heavy

"No one saw this coming," Schumacher says.

"None of the global models we look at predicted this. It just
shows that we can't always predict what storms and hurricanes
will do, despite our advanced technology."