Special Severe Weather Blog

9:05 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
All watches and warnings throughout the Brazos Valley have expired or been discontinued. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to decrease in coverage across the region, as the storm focus will continue to shift into East Texas and Western Louisiana.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

8:15 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
The Tornado Watch that has been in effect for most of the afternoon and evening has been canceled for much of the Brazos Valley. Austin, Montgomery, San Jacinto, and Waller counties are the only counties that remain in the watch through 9:00 p.m.

We are also noticing that the rain is starting to end in Milam and western Lee counties. This trend will continue from west to east over the next few hours.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

7:21 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
Whew! -- After a long 24 hours, the overall threat for severe weather is diminishing across the region. A few isolated strong storms are still possible east of I 45, with large hail and damaging winds being the primary threats.

Everyone will continue to see a lot of heavy rain, with the activity clearing out from west to east by 10:00 p.m.

Remember, you can submit your rain and storm reports by posting comments at the bottom of the page.

You can also post your weather photos and video to the Eye on You section of KBTX.com.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

6:44 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A TORNADO WARNING was issued for San Jacinto, Walker, and Trinity counties until 7:30 p.m.

6:28 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A TORNADO WARNING was issued for Montgomery, Grimes, San Jacinto, and Walker counties until 7:15 p.m.

6:21 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A TORNADO WARNING was issued for San Jacinto, Walker, and Trinity counties until 7:00 p.m.

6:00 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A TORNADO WARNING was issued for Walker, Trinity and Houston counties until 6:30 p.m.

5:50 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A TORNADO WARNING was issued for Trinity and Walker counties until 6:30 p.m.

5:25 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A TORNADO WARNING was issued for Houston county until 6:00 p.m.

5:15 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
The Severe Thunderstorm Warnings for Milam and Robertson counties has have been canceled.

5:03 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for Milam and Robertson counties until 5:45 p.m.

4:55 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
If you step outdoors from Bryan to Centerville and points northward, you can probably feel the colder air filtering into your region.

With temperatures dropping, the threat for tornadoes will diminish in the northern portions of the Brazos Valley from Bryan to Centerville and points to the northwest. However, the threat for tornadoes will still exists east of I 45 with large hail and damaging winds still possible over the entire region.

With our cold front speeding up, the threat for showers and thunderstorms may diminish altogether over the next few hours.

Stay up to date with KBTX Media for the latest developments.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

4:20 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for Milam county until 5:00 p.m.

4:15 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for Lee county until 4:45 p.m.

2:49 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
To answer a question below, according to B.I.S.D. the Sadie Hawkins Dance at Bryan High has been canceled.

2:30 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A Tornado Watch has been issued for all of the Brazos Valley until 9:00 p.m., CT.

A Tornado Watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes in and close to the watch area.

2:05 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
We're in the process of analyzing the latest data concerning the on-going threat for severe weather this afternoon an and evening.

The threat for tornadic storms will increase over the next few hours for locations mainly east of I 45. A Tornado Watch may be issued over the next hour. Remember, a tornado watch does not mean that a tornado is developing, but only that conditions are favorable for development.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

1:15 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been posted for Central Texas -- highlighting the potential for strong storms with large hail up to 2 inches in diameter. This watch, which does not include the Brazos Valley, is in effect until 7:00 p.m.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

12:00 PM (Sat, Feb 16):
Round one of the showers and thunderstorms ended early Saturday morning with a total of 12 severe thunderstorm warnings issued for the Brazos Valley -- all for storms that were capable of producing large hail.

Remember, you can submit your storm and rain reports on this very page by using the comments field at the bottom.

Round two is expected between 1:00 - 10:00 p.m. with large hail and tornadoes being the primary threat during the afternoon. By 6:00 p.m., we still believe that large hail will continue to be a threat along with gusty winds.

The latest images from our local Pinpoint Forecast Model will be posted over the next hour.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

11:24 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for Madison, Walker, and Houston counties until 12:00 a.m.

11:00 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
The Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Montgomery county has been canceled.

10:45 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
The public reported penny size hail in the Woodlands at 10:30 p.m. This is the same storm that was responsible for the Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Montgomery county.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

10:28 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for Montgomery county until 11:15 p.m.

10:05 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
Golfball size hail was reported in the town of Midway (Madison county) according to the Storm Prediction Center.

9:45 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for Brazos, Grimes, and Washington counties until 10:15 p.m.

9:08 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for Brazos, Grimes, and Washington counties until 9:45 p.m.

7:46 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING has been issued for Madison and Houston counties until 8:30 p.m.

7:38 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
There has been a lot of questions concerning the potential for severe weather tonight across the Brazos Valley.

While there has been plenty of rain this evening, for the most part it's been just that -- rain. Showers and thunderstorms will continue though the night with a slight chance for strong storms, but the main threat for severe weather will come Saturday.

Our current thinking is that we will see a strong line of thunderstorms develop in West Texas and push eastward throughout the day (moving across the Brazos Valley between 6:00 - 9:00 p.m.). This will be the main and final line of storms that will likely bring hail and gusty winds.

Our largest concern will be any storm that develops prior to this main line (during the afternoon hours). It is during this time period where storms will easily rotate, increasing the chance for large hail and tornadoes.

Watches are usually issued for these events about six hours in advance, so don't be surprised if a severe thunderstorm or tornado watch appears on your screen Saturday morning.

Remember a watch does not mean that severe weather is taking place, but only that it's possible within the watch time.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

6:50 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
The Storm Prediction Center has the Brazos Valley under a moderate risk for severe thunderstorms on Saturday.

A severe weather analysis from the News 3 Weather Department is also now available.

Click here for the image.

3:00 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
Here's the latest image from our local Pinpoint Forecast Model. This image shows an intense line of thunderstorms pushing through between 7:00 - 9:00 p.m., Saturday evening.

This model did a fairly decent job at forecasting our last round of thunderstorms, but was a little off with the timing. That should be considered when making plans -- always remember that while these times are shown as exact, there should always be room for error. In this case, I'll say between 7:00 - 9:00 p.m., instead of exactly 8:00 p.m.

Click here to see the forecast image.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather

2:30 PM (Fri, Feb 15):
A powerful low-pressure system is expected to move across the region on Saturday. We're already seeing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms on Fastrac and this is a sign of the warm and humid (unstable) airmass that this storm system will be working with.

We are expected strong thunderstorms to develop on Saturday with the highest risk for severe weather between 1:00 - 11:00 p.m. Large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are all possible with thunderstorms that develop during this time period.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage Friday night, and although the best risk for severe weather will be at the aforementioned time, any storm that develops over the next 36 hours will have the potential of becoming severe.

We will continue to issue updates here at KBTX.com, as new data comes in.

Rodney Harris
News 3 Weather


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