Friday 10pm Update
Tropical Storm Lee continues to move slowly northward toward the Louisiana coast, and the center may cross the coast as early as Saturday night now. Still, with the slow movement, torrential rains are likely to cause flooding over a large portion of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.
The 4pm update has winds in Tropical Storm Lee slightly higher at 45 mph. The forecast path is basically the same, taking Lee into southeast Louisiana late Sunday or early Monday. Rainfall totals of 12 to 15 inches with isolated higher amounts are possible over much of southern Louisiana and Mississippi through Labor Day.
The 1pm update from the National Weather Service has officially brought us Tropical Storm Lee this afternoon. Winds are currently sustained at 40mph and can be felt 220 miles outward from the center of this storm.
Tropical Storm Lee is located 200 miles southeast of Cameron, Louisiana and 210 miles southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi. This storm is only crawling to the northwest at 2mph and is not expected to gain much forward motion over the next few days.
For now Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Pascagoula, Mississippi westward to Sabine Pass, Texas which includes New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain -- two place that are expected to get more than their share of rain over the weekend. Flooding still remains the biggest concern with this soon to be Tropical Storm. On top of all the rain expected to fall, storm surge estimates waves about two to four feet higher than normal. Isolated tornadoes will also become an increasing threat heading into the evening hours for the Bayou State.
Next update on Tropical Storm Lee expected around 4pm
Friday Morning Update
Not much has changed since last night when the National Hurricane Center officially named Tropical Depression 13 The forecast path has shifted a bit more to the east, which only continue to pull it away from bringing any big rain chance to the Brazos Valley.
For now Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Pascagoula, Mississippi westward to Sabine Pass, Texas which includes New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain -- two place that are expected to get more than their share of rain over the weekend. Flooding still remains the biggest concern with this soon to be Tropical Storm.
After investigating the system in the Gulf of Mexico that News 3 Meteorologists and the National Hurricane Center have been monitoring closely these past couple of days, Hurricane Hunters have found a low level circulation associated with these showers and thunderstorms. That is good enough to classify this as a tropical system -- therefore Tropical Depression 13 is born this evening with maximum sustained winds of 35mph.
As stated earlier this afternoon in Meteorologist Shel Winkley's Blog , it seems that the models picked up on this signature as well and fell into line with each other a little bit better. That being said here is the official forecast path and time line thoughts for this system to strengthen as we head into the weekend:
Important to note that the official forecast path has Tropical Depression 13 becoming a Tropical Storm which most likely will be named Lee. Cone of Uncertainty does extend into East Texas but at this time the Brazos Valley is not expected to see much in the way of rain with this system. Tropical systems do like to wiggle and wobble so we will continue to monitor Tropical Depression 13 closely. For now no need to cancel any Labor Day or Aggie Gameday plans here in the Brazos Valley, but be sure to keep the fact that a Tropical Depression and most likely soon to be Tropical Storm is out there and that the forecast path is subject to change. Stay tuned as more data and details on this system continue to come in over the upcoming days.
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