The semester may be winding down but the playoff races are just heating up! With the Redskins big win over the Giants on Monday, they have a legitimate shot to win the NFC East and the Packers picked up another game on the Bears to tie them for a lead in the NFC North. The only question mark left in the AFC is if the Ravens will hold on to their two game lead over the Steelers, and I think that they will. We still have to wait a couple weeks to see how the wildcard shakes out, but until then, you have my picks to read and make fun of!
Broncos (-10) at Raiders – I hate that I really like this pick. Double digit favorites on the road? Normally, you haaaaaaave to take the home underdogs but the Raiders are horrible. Plus, I would trust Peyton Manning in a night game on a national stage with my life.
Ravens at Redskins (-2.5) – I really like this pick too. I watched the whole Redskins-Giants game last Monday and I still hate to admit it, but Robert Griffin III is really good and really fun to watch. I think they handle the depleted Ravens defense pretty easily.
Chiefs (+6.5) at Browns – After the tragedy of Jovan Belcher’s murder-suicide, I think that the Chiefs might have found a little bit of new life in the face of adversity. Also, the Browns shouldn’t be giving 6.5 points to anybody.
Chargers at Steelers (-6.5) – With Roethlisberger expected back, the Steelers should handle the severely disappointing Chargers without too much difficulty.
Titans at Colts (-5.5) – Tennessee didn’t look good at all against Houston last week and the Colts need this win to stay in the heat of the wildcard race. I like Indy.
Jets at Jaguars (+2.5) – I know, I know - “McElroy could start and give the Jets some fight!” No. It doesn’t matter who starts at quarterback, the Jets are not a good team.
Bears at Vikings (+3) – Chicago’s defense has cooled off and their offensive line has totally frozen over. Until they can get their mojo back, I’ll take the points.
Falcons at Panthers (+3.5) – As Bill Simmons cited in his column a couple weeks ago, the guys atFootball Outsiders called the Falcons the "Worst 10-1 team DVOA has ever tracked."I think that they go down on the road to their divisional foes this week.
Eagles at Buccaneers (-7.5) I’m staying away from the Eagles at all costs. Their coach is imcompetent, and they are starting a second string RB, QB, and WR1. And the Buccaneers have been hot lately, I like them a lot.
Rams (+3) at Bills – After playing the 49ers to OT again last week (the odds for that game to end in a tie like the first time they played were 300:1!), I think that the Rams get it done in Buffalo, but I don’t expect it to be because of their defense.
Cowboys at Bengals (-3) – This would have needed to be a near double-digit line to convince me to take the Cowboys.
Dolphins at 49ers (-10) – Seeing Ryan Tannehill try to throw against the 49ers defense might be a spectacle in itself. Then again, he has been a pleasant surprise for much of his first season on the NFL, but not enough to get me to take the dolphins on the road.
Saints at Giants (-4.5) – The Saints need this win to hang onto a chance for the wildcard but I don’t think they get it. The Giants pass rush is going to be too much for the Saints line to handle forcing the Saints to be one-dimensional and in the NFL, you have to be able to throw and run to win.
Cardinals (+10) at Seahawks – This game scares me because it is in Seattle, but the Cardinals have a good enough defense to hang around for a while in this game.
Lions at Packers (-6.5) – The Packers are just too much for this undisciplined Lions team to handle. I think the Lions will hang around until halftime and then the Packers prove why they are still the class of the NFC North.
Texans at Patriots (-3.5) – They say a good defense will always beat a good offense – the problem is that the Texans have not been playing very good defense as of late. If the Texans can control the clock and keep the ball out of Brady and Co.’s hands (which they are fully capable of doing), they could pull it out. I think that the Patriots up-tempo style of play I going to tire out the Texans defense and New England holds on for the win. Should be one of the games of the year and a possible AFC Championship preview.
Last Week: 9-6-1
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