Last week didn’t go quite as poorly as the week before, but it wasn’t far behind. And now that baseball is officially over, (148 days until Opening Day 2013!) I don’t have an excuse for not properly researching the games every week. Not that it would really matter because I don’t think any amount of research would affect my picks, but I’m kind of at a loss for what to do now. I’ve decided I’m going to try something a little different this week just for fun: I’m going to explain why I like a particular team for each matchup, and then pick the other team. It can’t be any worse than the results I’ve been getting, right? Quick side note sort of along the same lines – why does Rex Ryan refuse to let Tebow start at quarterback? Tebow can’t be any worse than what they’ve been dealing with in Sanchez, so why not? He proved in Denver last year that it might be ugly, but he gets results, so I think that the Jets should at least give him a shot. And if Sanchez plays poorly next week (the Jets are on bye this week), I think that Tebow will finally get a chance. On to this week’s picks!
Byes: Patriots, Jets, 49ers, Rams.
Chiefs (+8) at Chargers – I can’t figure out why the Chargers are bad this season. On paper they should be good, but for whatever reason they just can’t seem to fully mesh as a team. I like the Chargers to finally click offensively this week, so I’m taking the Chiefs getting 8 points.
Broncos at Bengals (+3.5) – I think the Broncos are one of the teams that crush the bad teams but can’t beat the premier teams in the league. They are definitely above average and have the ability to score tons of points (as they showed last week against the Saints) and I think that will carry over in Cincinnati. Which is why I’m taking the Bengals.
Cardinals at Packers (-11) – I don’t think that the gap between these two teams calls for a double-digit line, especially because the Cardinals have a solid defense. And after the poor showing the Cardinals put on Monday, I’d expect them to try to prove that they are a competitive team. So I’ll take the Packers giving 11.
Dolphins (-2.5) at Colts – I think the Dolphins are a surprisingly good team this season that, like the Broncos, can beat the bad teams but won’t be able to beat real good teams. I think that the Andrew Luck-led Colts are a solid team too and need to win this game if they want to sneak into a wildcard spot, so I’ll take the Dolphins -2.5.
Ravens at Browns (+3.5) – The Ravens are a much better team than the Browns so I’ll stick with Cleveland getting the points.
Bills (+10) at Texans – Both teams are coming off of a bye-week, but I fully expect a better Texans offense to neutralize the Bills defense. And with the game in Houston? I’ll take Buffalo +10.
Panthers (+3) at Redskins – Newton vs. Griffin! This should be a really fun game to watch with two quarterbacks that can put up points. I think Griffin will outplay Cam so Panthers +3 it is!
Lions at Jaguars (+3.5) – The Lions are like the Chargers in that they look good on paper, but can’t seem to put it all together on the field. I think that against a team as bad as Jacksonville, they’ll finally figure some things out and play a solid game for all four quarters.
Bears at Titans (+3.5) – I don’t think that the Titans will be able to move the ball against the top scoring defense in the league, and if the Bears can figure out their offensive-line issues, they might be fighting for a Super Bowl bid.
Vikings (+5) at Seahawks – The Seahawks at home are a recipe for success and I expect Russell Wilson and Co. to run away with this one. The Vikings are a solid team but I don’t think they’ll be able to hang against the Seahawks defense. So I’ll take the Vikings to cover.
Buccaneers at Raiders (-1) – Josh Freeman has been one of the best quarterbacks in the league the last few weeks, and the Raiders are just an awful team. I think that the Buccaneers may have finally turned the corner and get a big win in Oakland. So I’ll take Oakland giving 1.
Steelers (+3.5) at Giants – The Giants tried to give one away to the Cowboys last week but remain one of the premier teams in the NFC. The Steelers on the other hand, have looked fantastic some weeks and laid some duds the others. I think that the Giants will come out firing.
Cowboys (+4) at Falcons – The Falcons remain undefeated and are playing a Cowboys team that likes to lay down in big games. I think that Atlanta runs over the Cowboys, so I’ll take the Cowboys +4.
Eagles (+3.5) at Saints – Both of these teams have glaring problems, and Vick might be benched in favor of Nick Foles. If the Saints have any fight left in them, they should run over the Eagles on Monday Night Football without much difficulty. So naturally, I’ll take the Eagles getting 3.5 points.
Last Week: 4-10Season: 47-68-2