We are officially one full week into the 2012 NFL season and just like every year, there were plenty of surprises. Among the big stories: The Cowboys went into New York and laid the hammer down on the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants, Robert Griffin III played one of the best first games by a rookie quarterback in the history of the NFL (he is on his way to earning that nickname but hasn’t gotten there yet) and lead the Redskins to a win in the Superdome, Peyton Manning is back and doesn’t seem to have lost a step in his year off, and San Francisco went into Lambeau and dominated the Packers on both sides of the ball. I watched way too much football on Sunday (and Wednesday and Monday nights) and my bets went 7-9 against the spread. That’s not great but Week 1 is always the hardest week to bet because you can never be sure what you’re going to get out of every team. Let’s get to week 2!
Bears (+6) at Packers – The Bears looked good and the Packers looked awful in Week 1. I think there is a good chance that the Packers turn it around this week, but I think there is a better chance that the Packers are overrated and the Bears go into Lambeau and hand the Packers their second consecutive loss.
Buccaneers at Giants (-7.5) – Josh Freeman and the Buccaneers looked good and pulled out a W at home against the Panthers, but I think the Giants will be too much for them to handle and this one doesn’t stay close very long.
Cardinals at Patriots (-14) – Even though the Cardinals somehow managed to beat the Seahawks last week, it wasn’t impressive. Tom Brady and the Patriots routing of the Titans? Impressive. I like the Pats.
Vikings (-1.5) at Colts – Andrew Luck wasn’t as impressive as Robert Griffin III in his first NFL game but he was very solid and will only get better. Adrian Peterson, on the other hand, looked almost back to full strength will be a dynamic playmaker for the Vikings. He’ll be too much for the Colt’s defense to handle.
Saints at Panthers (+3) – The Saints couldn’t stop Robert Griffin III in New Orleans so why will they be able to stop [S]Cam Newton in Carolina? They won’t. Take the points.
Chiefs at Bills (-3) – The Chiefs got blown out at home and the Bills got blown out on the road last week. Neither of these teams proved anything so I’d stay away from this one but if I had to pick, I’ll take the Bills at home.
Ravens (+2.5) at Eagles – I know that Philadelphia is a hard place to play, but the Eagles almost lost to the Browns last week. The Ravens looked just as good (if not better) than the Eagles looked bad. I think that the Ravens win in a close one.
Raiders (-2.5) at Dolphins – As an Aggie this is kind of tough for me to say, but Ryan Tannehill was sorely disappointing in his first start. I’m talking 2012-Astros-season disappointing. The Raiders didn’t look very good either but at least seemed competent which is more than I can say for Miami. I’m not taking Miami in anything until they show me that they know how to play football.
Browns at Bengals (-7) – I seem to be in the minority when I say that I don’t think the Bengals will be very good this season so I was glad when the Ravens blew them out in week 1. But everybody can agree that the Browns are terrible, and both Brandon Weeden and backup Colt McCoy are awful. Bengals get their first win of the season here and it isn’t even close.
Texans (-7.5) at Jaguars – The Texans are just too good all around for the Jaguars. Blaine Gabbert looked as good as he has every looked last week against the Vikings, but he won’t be able to move the ball very well against the Texans defense. Texans win fairly easily.
Cowboys at Seahawks (+3) – The Cowboys proved to the world what they are capable of and the Seahawks proved to the world they might have been a little overrated in the preseason. But, I think that Russell Wilson and the Seahawks turn the tables on the Cowboys and pull out a gritty win at home.
Redskins (-3) at Rams – I know it has only been one week, but as much as I hate to say it, I’m taking the Redskins and Robert Griffin III until someone stops him.
Jets (+6) at Steelers – I don’t want to read too much into just one week, but the J-E-T-S Jets! Jets! Jets! looked awfully good. I think that their defense contains the Steelers offense and even if the Jets don’t win, this one is real close.
Titans at Chargers (-6) – The Chargers seem to be ready to prove that this is the year they won’t underachieve. They were impressive on the road against the Raiders, and I like them at home giving six points to the Titans.
Lions at 49ers (-6.5) – If you had told me last week that Matt Stafford would throw 3 times as many interceptions in Week 1 as Alex Smith, I wouldn’t have believed you. But it happened. The 49ers marched into Lambeau and beat the hell outta the Packers. I think they keep the momentum going and smother the Lions.
Broncos (+3) at Falcons – Both Peyton Manning and Matt Ryan were impressive in their week 1 games, but I think that the Broncos find a way to shut down (or at least slow down) that feisty Falcons offense. The Broncos go into Atlanta and prove they are the real deal.
Last Week: 7-9