Another Unseasonably Strong Front
The days and months of 2013 are just flying by, and it's already May 1st. But here we are looking at another strong cold front about to make its way through the Brazos Valley. The air mass behind this front is very cold for this late in the season, and it's surely to prompt some wardrobe changes. Keep that jacket handy for a while longer because you may need it during the day Thursday, and again Friday and Saturday mornings when temperatures drop to near record lows.
The front should move into the Brazos Valley Thursday morning with the winds shifting to northerly and picking up in speed during the day, 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Temperatures will top out in the morning, falling through the 60s and into the 50s by late afternoon. The front will also be accompanied by cloudy skies and some shower activity, although forecast rainfall totals are not impressive. However, the combination of cooler temperatures, gusty winds, and lack of sunshine will make for quite an un-May-ish day.
Record Lows in Jeopardy
Once the clouds start to clear out, temperatures will drop into the low to mid 40s Friday and Saturday mornings, with 30s possible in our northern areas (Robertson, Leon and Houston Counties). Record lows for Bryan / College Station stand at 45° for May 3 (Friday) and 42° for May 4 (Saturday), both set in 1954, which was a very good year. We are currently forecasting 44° for Friday morning which would break the record.
Careful What You Wish For
This year has raised some eyebrows with the number of strong cold fronts we've seen on a weekly basis, even heading into the month of May. Our average temperature in April was more than 2 degrees below normal, and it now appears that this milder weather pattern will continue into the month of May. But we probably shouldn't complain about getting goose bumps. Just look back two years to May 2011. Instead of goose bumps, we were sweating it out. The monthly temperature was four degrees above average, and more than half the month saw highs in the mid to upper 90s.
Arguably, this year's cool is better than the heat of 2011. Just one minor worry...the possibility of some patchy frost on the gardens this Friday or Saturday morning. Beware of that, otherwise, we'll have lots of sunshine over the weekend with a gradual warming trend.