If you've been able to catch a forecast over the past couple of days, I know what you are thinking -- I promise, we did not fall asleep on the keyboard when making the 7 Day.
A pretty stagnant pattern will persist for the Brazos Valley as we cruise through Spring Break and on into St. Patrick's Day Weekend. We're not tracking any big fronts this week, and most of the active weather is going to ride along the northern branch of the jet stream and remain out of reach for Texas.
Warm and Humid
Daytime highs are expected to top off near 80° each and every day through the beginning of next week. That means, our afternoons will be roughly 8° to 10° above the "average" for this time in March. Overnight lows normally would fall into the 50s -- but instead, we'll start each morning with overcast skies and temperatures in the mid-to-upper 60s.
What's the reason? Breezy, southerly winds, my Dear Watson. As moisture continues to pump over the region from the Gulf of Mexico, temperatures will stay on the warm side and there will be a chance for these....
You Just Might Find Rain
With Southeast Texas sitting on the outer edge of a dome of high pressure, little disturbances inthe atmosphere and warm, Gulf air will provide for a chance of afternoon isolated showers / rumbles of thunder. If you do find rain overhead, it should pass by rather quickly -- although a scattered heavy downpour is not totally out of the question should we see a stronger storm briefly get it's act together. Overall, this will be an off chance, as we'll only spray the forecast with a 20% shot at the wet stuff.
Today's Rain Outlook:
More Significant Weather Next Week?
If our long range computer models keep trending the way they are now, yes.
In fact, as a large trough of low pressure digs south from the Pacific northwest and then tilts in a negative fashion, this could mean significant rain and maybe even a severe weather outbreak for parts of The Lone Star State. For now, we'll mention is but don't stick a feather in your cap just yet -- a lot can change between now and the middle of next week.
With this on our radar, however, it isn't a bad reminder that severe weather season is coming (typically most severe weather is found during April, May & June). Be sure to have a plan and routine down should severe weather strike the Brazos Valley. You can find everything you need to plan successfully at our "AWARENESS" section on the Severe Weather Page at KBTX.com.