We have been on one big ol' warming trend this week. In fact, morning lows started off in the upper 40s to low 50s on Sunday and Monday morning -- but a healthy increase in moisture has caused a 30°+ swing in our morning temperatures. The past few days, we've woken up to the humid upper 60s to low 70s, under overcast skies and even a bit of patchy fog here and there.
A cold front will be pushing through Texas this weekend, but it'll take a few days to get here. Once it does, a shot at scattered thunderstorms and then drier air filtering in will be in the forecast.
Before we get to the weekend...we did have a multiple rainbow pictures sent in after our afternoon (non-severe) storms on Thursday. Look closely, you'll be able to make out the double rainbow that our Weather Watcher Robin snapped a picture of yesterday!
Texas Reds Forecast
Looks like we'll be rain free for Texas Reds Steak and Grape Festival in Downtown Bryan.
Tonight -- warm and humid with scattered clouds. The only thing you'll need to worry about -- mosquitoes. They'll likely be biting still...so you may want to spray yourself down before heading out.
Saturday -- Partly to mostly cloudy skies will pass overhead throughout the day, highs will be on the warmer side as Bryan tops off right around 90° by 3 to 4 pm. With a bit of humidity in the air, it may feel more like 93° to 95° when you factor in a heat index -- be sure to drink a bit of water between those glasses of wine! The wind will be a bigger part of your day. We'll find south to southeasterly winds blowing through at 10-20mph (sustained) alongside gusts upwards of 25 to 30mph at times.
What's Called 2nd Season
When it comes to meteorologists, storm chasers or just weather enthusiasts -- this time of the year is commonly referred to as "Second Season." Second what? Basically a second run at seeing severe weather set-ups take shape. As we typically find during the Spring, as summer and winter fight over the United States, severe weather is possible from time to time.
A large upper-level low, that has been brewing off the West Coast of California this week, has finally come on land and will continue it's path across the Plains States Saturday then onward to the North and Eastern side of the country on Sunday.
As this system swings past, it will drag a weak, Pacific Cold Front across Texas as well. That cold front starts to work into the Panhandle today. While there is a threat for severe weather there -- morning rain moving out of New Mexico may keep a lid on the severe weather potential for the afternoon and evening hours. Good news.
As that cold front continues to the east, the storm potential and severe weather threat will shift along with it. By Saturday afternoon / night, areas from Wichita Falls to Central and North Texas will have the chance to find large hail, damaging winds and the outside shot of an isolated tornado. We'll be watching the situation to our north closely -- from there the storm potential will get pushed towards the Brazos Valley.
Stormy Sunday Start?
There is a decent chance of it. In fact, a 50% shot at seeing rain and hearing thunder as we kick off the morning hours.
While most storms that occur, to our north late Saturday, should come down in intensity during the overnight hours, there is still a chance that a few storms may be on the strong to severe side as they sweep through the area (especially any that may form on the tail end of this cold front). Main threat we'll be watching for is strong, damaging winds...with a secondary hail threat not out of the question. Overall severe potential isn't that great -- but it isn't out of the question either.
We'll keep tabs on our developing rain chances over the weekend. Of course, the latest on the forecast can always be found right here on KBTX.com or a quick check over on twitter: @KBTXWeather & @KBTXShel.
Enjoy the weekend, stay safe and remember to designate a driver if need be...and I'll see you in Downtown Bryan this weekend. BTHO la tech!