Spring 2013 has been anything but normal across the Brazos Valley. Sure, we've picked up a few days that topped off where they were supposed to (according to the calendar and climatology) but weekly, sharp cold fronts had folks switching shorts and t-shirts for coats and jeans on many occasions in April and early May.
After a good soaking rain that dropped almost 5" of rain, officially, for Bryan / College Station, we start to kick in more spring-like conditions -- including another shot at beneficial rainfall.
Ahhhh, now this feels like Spring....
While it was a cool start to your Monday morning, nothing to complain about when you start a mid-May day off between the mid-40s and mid-50s, alongside low humidity. (Average low for May 13: 66°).
Even with a "cooler than normal" start to the morning, ample sunshine warms the Brazos Valley back into the low-to-mid 80s this afternoon. (Average high for May 13th: 85°) High pressure to the east of the region has the area roped into it's western fringe, keeping a low humidity, sunny & warm Monday in place.
An area of disturbed weather -- an upper-level low pressure trough -- hanging to the west of Texas last week helped send disturbance after disturbance our way that lead to round of rain after round of rain Thursday & Friday.
That same area of low pressure got cut off from the main jet stream over the weekend and has been trapped in Mexico under a ridge of high pressure over the Western US. As the week progresses, that area of disturbed weather will be able to once again carve out a trough in the jet and slide it's way towards the Lone Star State.
Partly cloudy skies, breezy south winds and building humidity will once again make an appearance in your Tuesday forecast. Rain chances will soon follow...
With this area of low pressure crossing Texas, shower and thunderstorm activity will increase by Wednesday morning. A few scattered showers will be possible early in the day, followed by a chance for hit or miss showers and isolated thunderstorms. Here's a look at the KBTX PinPoint Computer Forecast for Tuesday evening:
While the threat for severe weather and flash flooding (similar to last week's activity) looks to be LOW at this time, parts of the Brazos Valley do look like they could grab a quick shower or two to help the lawns and gardens. Below is the outlook from the HPC on possible rain accumulations by Thursday:
Stretching for the 90s?
Calm down -- no need to panic........yet.
After our rain chances dry up, the second half of this week will be spent building up warmer temperatures as we climb into the upper 80s. The official forecast doesn't hold in actual 90° temperatures (yet), but factor in a persistent humid feeling and the heat index could make it feel like the 90° mark by the weekend. More on that later in the week....