September has arrived! Granted the beginning of September feels a lot like the end of August, but we've got to crawl before we can walk towards more fall-like weather in the Brazos Valley.
Let's start here -- a bit of climate data for the month of September:
A few September Climate facts for you as we start the new month:
Not promising 40s and not promising 100s every day -- but just something to keep in mind as we watch Summer and Autumn start to fight it out soon.
Few Showers Today -- More on the Way?
Looks that way.
For the lack of excitement we had across the Brazos Valley today, we had a pretty active set up across Texas. A cold front sparked up showers and a few thunderstorms in North Texas this morning. Those fell apart, but pushed an outflow boundary into the northern half of the area this afternoon, allowing a few scattered showers / isolated thunderstorms to pop up.
An small disturbance moved across the Upper Texas Coast on Sunday and continued to drift west around high pressure this afternoon. That allowed the sea breeze to blow in out of the Gulf -- however most of that activity drifted to the Northwest of the area.
While many missed out on cooling showers today -- tomorrow is a different day...
Keep your Umbrella Close
That "cold' front that we mentioned will sag a bit further to the south tomorrow. While we aren't expecting it to reach the Brazos Valley, it will be close enough to spark up a few showers and thunderstorms north of the area, which in turn we expect to drift to the south through the Brazos Valley.
Rain / isolated thunderstorm chances will hold in at a 30% chance tomorrow. While it isn't the most stellar probability -- that rain could come with the occasional heavy downpour, gusty winds and cloud-to-ground lightning.
Below is a look at the afternoon run of our Hi-Def PinPoint Computer Forecast Model. While the coverage isn't expected to be as widespread as what you see -- it does tell us that any and all have an equal chance at seeing activity tomorrow and that the storm motion will be from the north and pushing to the south (slowly):
Checking in on the Tropics
The National Hurricane Center is watching three possible areas for development as of Monday evening -- all of which have a LOW development chance over the next 48 hours.
The last time we went through an August hurricane, in the tropics, was 2002. Should a hurricane not form before September 11th, we will be setting a new record for the latest hurricane to form in a season until one does. So far that record is held by Hurricane Gustav, which formed in the 2002 hurricane season.
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