By a show of hands -- how many of you pulled out the long sleeves this weekend? I'll be honest, I'm in that middle ground where I'll still wear shorts but have to at least have a long sleeve t-shirt on. Great to have the cooler air spill into the Brazos Valley -- but if you enjoy it, get out in it because a warming trend is quickly back in the forecast.
Enjoy the Cool Now
We talked about that "weather roller coaster" in last weeks blog and it looks like we'll stay on that pattern for the time being (although, it looks like this ride is almost over). After hitting around 90° Thursday and Friday of last week, our cold front arrived on Saturday to bring a chill to the air. We've walked out into the 40s and 50s these past couple of mornings and -- thanks to the cloud cover -- only managed to rebound into the low 60s on Sunday.
Assuming the cloud cover breaks up today (which all indications point to "yes"), we should get enough sunshine to warm into the low 70s for most this afternoon. Add a breezy southerly wind returning on Tuesday and we'll bring those afternoon highs back to seasonal normals (mid-80s).
A cold front works into Texas by the middle of this week -- but it won't have enough gas to push into our part of the state. So instead of enjoying a reinforcing shot of cooler air, it looks like we'll be able to achieve 90° by Thursday or Friday. Granted all bad doesn't come without better news -- as warmer and more muggy air shuffles into the Brazos Valley, we'll be able to throw in a slight chance at needed rain here and there across the 7 Day Forecast. (Mainly a 20% chance Wednesday and Sunday - but something is better than nothing, right?)
When is the Next Blast of Fall Expected?
Hate to say it, but another big cold front doesn't look to be coming down the pipeline anytime soon. Looking at the long range models -- there seems to be a deep trough and good push of Canadian air possible around two weeks from now...but that idea should be taken with a grain of salt.
The long range outlook from the Climate Prediction Center is a slightly warmer, "above normal" outlook for temperatures over the next 2 week time period. Again, all bad doesn't come without some good -- the 3 month outlook calls for the possibility of "above normal" precipitation. Something to wait out and see, but for sure something the area could use.