Pretty typical, late July weather happening across the Brazos Valley over the past couple of days. This, of course, coming off the heels of a "scattered, wet" pattern we were fortunate to fall into these past couple of weeks. A deck of high clouds over the area managed to keep temperatures in check & "normal" for this time of the year, on Wednesday. Today...we won't be quite as lucky.
Triple Digits Return
Soggy grounds have sure made things mighty muggy in the Brazos Valley this past week. Have you noticed that as the week as progressed, it hasn't felt quite as stifling out? That's because the ground has started to dry out and our humidity is coming more from the muggy air moving through the area vs. being combined with an overly squishy ground.
A drier ground means that temperatures can warm up quicker -- that is, if there aren't those high clouds in place like we had yesterday. Today -- sunnier skies prevail and we'll look for afternoon highs to top off between 97° and 100° on the dot. Factor in a heat index and it could feel as hot as 105° to 107° for some later today.
Another deck of high to mid-level clouds is expected to invade our sky tonight / most of Friday, so we'll call for temperatures to be a degree or two "cooler" tomorrow.
Isolated Rain Chance Today & A "Better" Chance This Weekend:
Thanks to showers and thunderstorms that fell apart across Oklahoma, the Arklatex & North Texas on Wednesday, we've got a weak boundary draped across the Brazos Valley today.
That boundary could act as a focal point for an isolated shower or thunderstorm later this afternoon as we reach the peak of our heat today. That said, high pressure is in full control across the upper-levels of the atmosphere. The better bet is that this high will win out and shunt any rain chances -- but we can't rule out a stray storm overcoming the odds and popping up. Don't get too hopeful - rain chance will hold at a 10% for today.
As of this morning, showers and thunderstorms were slowly rolling out of the Texas Panhandle and working towards Western Oklahoma. (Needed rain for folks up north. Multiple water crossings in Palo Duro Canyon had to be closed due to the rain that fell between last night and this morning.)
That same, tiny disturbance will continue to roll around the edge of high pressure and work into Southeast Texas by the weekend as a weak "cold" front.
Rain chances will increase to 20%. Temperatures should come down a few degrees because of the increased cloud cover on hand. Overall rain coverage isn't going to be impressive. Computer models seemed excited about this scenario on Wednesday, however backed off a bit today. We'll continue to look for the "pot of gold at the end of the rainbow" in the next few days to see if we can dial these needed chances up or not.
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