KBTX - Blogs - Shel Winkley

Tracking a Thanksgiving Cold Front

Updated: Tue 10:48 AM, Nov 23, 2010

Tuesday Morning Update:

Cold front still looks good to be on track for late in the day on Thanksgiving.  You'll wake up to breezy, cloudy, humid and warm conditions on Thursday morning with the cold front slated to move through by late afternoon / early evening.  High temperatures will be tricky, mainly because there still is a problem with agreement between each computer model that we glance at to bring the forecast together.  It still looks like mid to upper 70s are likely ahead of the front, and for that matter through most of your Thanksgiving Day, with a 20 to 30 degree drop in temperatures behind the wind shift within a matter of a few hours.

As for holiday travel, a passing rain shower from time to time will be the only thing slowing you down on Wednesday if you are staying around the Brazos Valley or Texas.  However, to the right is all the winter weather that is currently causing a mess across the Pacific Northwest:  Blizzard Warnings, Winter Storm Warnings, Winter Weather Advisories, etc...  This mess of snow and below freezing temperatures will continue to slide to the east over the next couple of days slowing down travel for the Central Plains and the middle of the country.  The drastically cold temperatures will stay well to our north...but a large difference in temperatures will be felt here at home by Friday...with a few areas possibly waking up to a light freeze by Friday and Saturday morning.

One largge detail to point out.  If you are headed to Austin to watch the Ags take on t.u. Thursday night...take a good coat and plenty of maroon to bundle up with.  The front should be well past the state capital by the time kickoff arrives meaning a bone chilling and windy game is in store.

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Its lunchtime across the Brazos Valley this 22nd day of November...and the temperature outside is 78°.  No need to rub your eyes, that's right...it's 78°.  Needless to say, both overnight lows and daytime highs are running about 10 - 20 degrees above where they should be for this time of the year.  In fact, this mornings low only made it down to 67°, which is 20° warmer than the norm and only 2° cooler than the normal daytime high. 
 

We'll have to deal with this warm, muggy, breezy and cloudy weather for the next couple of days as we gear up for the beginning of the holiday season and head towards Thanksgiving Day.  But changes are on the horizon...

You are looking at the temperatures from 7am Monday morning.  Sharp, cold Canadian air is locked up beind the jetstream and is trying to work its way toward Texas and the Brazos Valley.  And it does look like it will get here...it will just take a few more days.  Its arrival? Welp...it looks like Thanksgiving day.

  While the timing of this front is still a bit unclear as to when it will dive through on Thursday, one thing is for certain...it will get here.  Ahead of the front, daytime highs should warm into the muggy and breezy 70s.  As the front comes knocking on the door during the afternoon and evening, ahead of it showers and thunderstorms will be possible (50% chance) with gusty north winds quickly dropping temperatures behind this front's passage into the 40s and 50s within a matter of one to two hours.  So if you are planning that trip to Grandma's house for Thanksgiving dinner you'll most likely start off in shorts and a T-shirt...but take the coat and pants because you'll most likely need it after the tryptophan wears off by the evening.

 

More details to come over the next couple of days as we continue to track our latest cold front in the News 3 Pinpoint Weather Center...but two things are for certain:  1) the turkey will be tasty and 2) it will feel more like the holiday season soon enough!

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