KBTX - Blogs - Shel Winkley

Tuesday Blog: Weeks Starts Nice But Could End Rainy

Updated: Tue 11:21 AM, Sep 11, 2012

Lots of folks checking in with us, here in the PinPoint Weather Center, and sounding off on how much they love this recent stretch of beautiful weather.  Saturday's cold front gave us our first glimmer of hope for cooler fall afternoons -- especially after starting off the past several mornings in the 50s and 60s across the Brazos Valley.  Here's a look back at the "cooler" & more normal afternoon highs that we traded for the triple digits of last week:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Enjoy It While Its Here 

Sunny skies...a cool tinge in the air as you walk out of the door in the morning...afternoon highs topping off in the low 90s and actually feeling like the low 90s...yup, the weather these past couple of days has been pretty great.

Enjoy it while you can, all you blue sky lovers -- clouds and moisture will begin to work their way back into the picture.  In fact, there is likely to be more cloud cover as early as by the time you wake up on Wednesday morning.  Moisture that was pushed off-shore by this past Saturday's cold front will come surging back on southeasterly winds as high pressure on the east coast pushes closer to the Atlantic Ocean.  Now that we've started this trend, we'll continue to add moisture to the atmosphere in advance of an upper-level trough of low pressure digging down from the northwest and then put it to use as it swings east across the country.

Another Cold Front On The Way

Last week's cold front came in dry -- and while we need the rain, it was good considering how many events hinged on outdoor conditions this past weekend.

This next cold front is likely to not bring as cool of air (in fact, it's more of a reinforcing cold front if anything) but it will move through slower with a lagging trough-- meaning that rain chances are looking better.  

 

 

The best chance at rain and thunderstorms will be ahead and along the front itself, but as much of Texas remains in that trough-like pattern, we may even see a few showers from time to time as we move into the weekend.  

Long-range computer models are just now starting to really fall in line with a wetter solution to Friday's cold front.  Therefore, we'll only call it a 40% chance at scattered showers and thunderstorms for now and detail the timing and the chance of rain over the coming days. 

Latest computer models (12z GFS) actually slows the front down into Saturday and keeps rain chances healthy Thursday through Saturday.  We'll keep that in mind, but won't jump on a change in the forecast until this solution shows a little more consistency. 

Don't forget you can get quick updates throughout the day by following @KBTXShel or @KBTXWeather on Twitter.

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