KBTX - Blogs - Shel Winkley

Warmer now...Cold & Wet by Sunday

Updated: Thu 11:02 AM, Dec 01, 2011

The first day of December means a lot of things -- 24 shopping days until Christmas, Elf and A Christmas Story go on continuous repeat for the next few weeks and also the first day of Meteorological Winter.  Of course winter doesn't ring in until December 21st at 11:30pm...but for us weather folk we like to think the turning of the calendar page is close enough.  This weekend's weather will prove why we believe that...

Warmer, more humid & cloudy

Southeast winds have filled back in, which will bringthe moisture back to the Brazos Valley.  That means these colder morning lows in the 20s and 30s will become mornings of the 40s and 50s through Saturday followed by afternoons topping off a bit on the warm side (for this time of the year) in the low 70s.  That is in contrast to the mid-to-upper 30s they'll be bundled up in in the Texas Panhandle.  While burn bans have been lifted in many counties recently -- the winds will only kick up heading into Saturday and the drought is still very much a real concern, meaning not the best conditions to start those controlled burns.  Honestly, if you have waited this long, it wouldn't hurt to wait until early next week when burning conditions are more favorable.

Cold Front Due in Early Sunday

We'll go from a high of 73 on Saturday to the blustery, soggy and cold upper 40s to low 50s by Sunday afternoon -- and that is before you factor in a colder windchill.  As the front blows in, showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of it, bringing the best and heaviest chance of much needed rain.  Once the front passes and the temperatures drops, warmer southerly winds in the upper-levels of the atmosphere will keep light, drizzly rain chances going from Sunday afternoon to Monday afternoon. We'll hold in a 50%-60% chance of rain to wrap up the weekend and start the new work week.  Finding your favorite holiday movie, some hot chocolate and a good blanket may not be the worst idea on Sunday.  

 


Don't forget the annual BCS Christmas Parade is Sunday afternoon.  The heavier rain chances should begin to fall off by the time festivities kick off, but remember that windy cold is bad enough,but add in a drizzle to light rain and it will be pretty miserable in terms of the winter.  Take an umbrella and warm clothing -- let's hope that Christmas cheer helps keep you warm!

Clearing but staying cold

We'll finally see the sun make an appearance by Tuesday afternoon -- but it will be a cold start to the week.  Highs Tuesday and Wednesday only top off in the 50s with lows down at freezing Tuesday morning and possibly in the 20s by Wednesday morning!  

While confidence in the general theme of the weekend looks good, there could be some minor changes to the forecast over the next couple of days.  Of course, we'll keep you updated as they come in.  

Happy Thursday -- enjoy the mild weather while it is here.

 

 

 

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