"...every body's working for the weekend..." Right?
If you are already thinking ahead and planning outdoor activities for the weekend -- you may want to keep a secondary idea in the back of your mind as well. As we briefly touched on in Tuesday's Blog, rain chances are looking pretty decent as we head into most of our day's off ... especially on Saturday. Not saying that the entire weekend will be a washout, but you may want to find that foreign object known as an umbrella, dust it off and keep it near the door for future use.
Change in the Pattern
As high pressure shifts and amplifies over the Western United States, a deep trough of low pressure will take over most of the Eastern half of the country. This will drive a cold front through most of Texas starting on Friday.
Cold front?! No, no...don't get too excited. An August cold front normally doesn't mean that temperatures will be coming back down to comfortable levels -- but it can help stir up the atmosphere and provide a bit of much needed rain around these parts.
As our cold front slides in from the north, providing "lift" to the sky above to help initiate and focus thunderstorm development, we'll also be working in deeper tropical moisture from the south. (Let's call it the ol' one, two, punch)
Ghost of a Tropical Depression
The remnants of Tropical Depression Seven will cross over the Yucatan and enter the Western Gulf of Mexico and then slowly travel towards the Brownsville region through the rest of the work week. While the GFS computer model suggest that this system could turn into a tropical depression (at the least) again, that scenario shouldn't have a direct impact on us here in the Brazos Valley. What it will do, however, is add plenty of good moisture to work with to see decent downpours should the rain chance pan out.
Put the scenario together and we'll hold a 30% chance for scattered showers (especially in the afternoon) For Sunday and Monday and have a 40% chance for widespread rain on Saturday.
Keep your fingers crossed, details can change for the wetter or drier -- however, as it stands this morning, this looks to be the best rain chance for the Brazos Valley since the beginning of July.