For many, the 3-day weekend is here! Just have to get that small hand on the clock to tick to 5pm, right?
For all -- it is the "unofficial start to summer" with the arrival of Memorial Day.
**Side Note:**Just for reference, not so summer-like in the Northeast. Part of New York (state) were starting the day with temperatures near freezing and snow flurries being reported over the past 24 hours. Obviously, not the case with this humid Gulf of Mexico air clinging to the Brazos Valley.
Grab An Umbrella -- You Just Might Need It
An interesting forecast across Texas -- not only this morning, but for the past couple and next few days.
High pressure is sitting over Mexico and the Gulf of Mexico this morning, with this northern rim situated over South Texas. Its around that outer edge of this ridge that small disturbances are working in from the west. This morning, thunderstorms that spun up a few "gustnadoes" in the Southern Panhandle Thursday afternoon, merged into a complex of storms overnight and pushed into Southwest Texas. Computer modeling is picking up on a few more micro-scale features that may try to pop up more scattered showers and thunderstorms across Texas in the next 24 to 48 hours.
Our latest run of the localized (6km) PinPoint Computer Forecast Model shows the possibility of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms popping up this afternoon in the Brazos Valley. Below is what the computer is picking up on at 1:45pm -- notice how much activity is being shown? We are likely not to see that much coverage, however it tells us that nobody is out of the question for an isolated thunderstorms...especially in the heat of the day between 3pm and 5pm. Don't get too excited, overall rain chance is only a 20% shot...
Wash, Rinse and Repeat
Don't find rain on Friday? Well, you'll get a second shot on Saturday. But again, keep that giddy feeling down -- we'll only dial in that 20% chance (with the best bet lying in the Western Brazos Valley).
Any thunderstorm that may drift over your backyard could be a bit of a doozy. Severe weather is not anticipated, however, gusty winds and a 15-20 minute heavy downpour is not out of the question with any activity that manages to form over the next two days.
Fire up the BBQ -- Memorial Day is Here
Even with a small chance of rain in the forecast, no need to cancel any outdoor plans. Should a storm drift by, you'll need to head indoors for a bit (due to possible cloud-to-ground lightning) then you'll be right back outside.
If you haven't found rain by Sunday, you've likely missed the boat on this round.
Breezy winds kick up on by late Sunday and we'll keep that theme going on into Memorial Day Monday. Highs linger around 90° but factor in that Brazos Valley humidity and it'll feel a hot as between 95° and 98°!
Hurricane Season Starts June 1st
Just a quick note, speaking of the unofficial start to summer -- NOAA released their 2013 Hurricane Forecast Thursday. They are looking for an extreme and active season over the next couple of months. Below is their outlook along with the link to the official press release for more details.