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Gearing Up For Severe Weather and Heavy Rain Potential

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Updated: Mon 12:59 PM, Mar 19, 2012

A breezy to gusty morning across the Brazos Valley is just the start to what could be a rough 24 to 36 hours of weather for a good portion of our area and much of Central, North & East Texas.

The Storm Prediction Center has placed a MODERATE RISK (red) for severe weather in an area from San Antonio to East of Abilene through Dallas / Ft. Worth north into Oklahoma and as far east as the northern portions of the Brazos Valley (Milam, Robertson, Lee and Burleson Counties). Brazos County and Bryan / College Station were included in the original Moderate Risk that came out early today, but has since been removed -- although, Northern Brazos County is still included in the polygon.  For those not in the red polygon, a SLIGHT RISK for severe weather will exist for today -- which has a slightly lower probability of any given spot within 25 miles to experience severe storms.  

 

Wind Advisory

Ahead of the anticipation for severe weather, a WIND ADVISORY has been placed across most of the Brazos Valley.  Winds, as of Monday morning, were already sustained at 15-25mph from the south / southeast, with reported wind gusts greater than 30mph at times.  High profile vehicles should take caution traveling around the area -- especially if headed to the east or the west -- and if you like your lawn furniture, trash cans, Easter decorations etc, pulling them in closer to the house probably won't be the worst decision you make today.

 

Storm Impacts and Timing

  • Time frame: Isolated thunderstorms will have a chance of popping up this afternoon. However, the bigger severe threat should remain in Central and North Texas today and then shift overnight towards the Brazos Valley and into tomorrow morning.  Biggest window for severe storms: 1am through mid-morning Tuesday.
  • Threats: Strong, damaging winds (excess of 60mph or greater) and heavy rain are the main concern.  Some storms could produce large hail and isolated, embedded tornadoes are not out of the question as well. 
  • Heavy Rain: 1 to 3 inches of rain will be likely across much of the Brazos Valley.  A few localized areas of 4 to 6 inches is not out of the question.  

More Rain Tuesday Night / Wednesday? 

It is possible, and some of the computer models -- including the PinPoint Forecast model are predicting just that as the large system driving tonight / tomorrow's severe weather stalls over the state.  There are still some question marks, so we'll have to let a few more model runs come in.  Areas that find the most rain on Tuesday may need to be monitored for flooding potential should more rain fall within this time frame.

Stay Ahead of the Weather

We'll be here through the night and tomorrow to track any severe weather that may blow in.  Be sure that you have multiple sources for being informed about severe weather in case power or TV signal is lost.  Should your cable or satellite go out due to a storm, remember that you can pick up KBTX on Digital 3.1 or streaming online at KBTX.com.  

Since there is an overnight threat, be sure to have you NOAA Weather Radio plugged in and ready to go. Should a warning be issued for your area, an alarm will sound to wake you up.  If you don't have a weather radio, there are a variety of apps for your phone that can be downloaded.  For iphone users, iMapWeather Radio is a great app to download and will act just as a NOAA Weather Radio would. ($9.99 cost)

Of course all updates will be found on the homepage of KBTX.com and you can follow along for up the minute updates on our twitter page as well. If you are on twitter and have severe weather or damage to report tweet @KBTXWeather and use the hashtag #bvstorms.
 

 

 

 

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