In the grand scheme of things, our late May forecast is pretty much on par with where it is supposed to be, climatologically speaking. Afternoon highs have been consistently topping off in the upper 80s to low 90s over the past couple of weeks.
Normal high for May 28th: 89°.
Forecast high for today: 90°.
We can call that close enough, right?
Early Spring Winds
Memorial Day turned out to be a breezy one across the Brazos Valley, but we are going to notch those winds up just a bit more here for your Tuesday. In fact, stepping out, you may think that the wind has reverted back to March.
Southerly winds move through at 15-25mph, with gusts upwards of 30mph at times. Get used to it -- we'll keep those winds up on Wednesday (roughly the same speed) and then slowly start to bring them down Thursday / Friday / Saturday.
Rain Back in the Forecast...Kind of...
As an upper-level trough carves it's way towards the western side of Texas, we'll start to increase rain chances for the Brazos Valley.
Today, thunderstorms -- some severe -- will be possible across far West Texas and (especially) the Eastern Panhandle. We'll likely stay quiet here at home.
Wednesday, as an upper-level disturbance swings around the base of that trough of low pressure, we'll bring our scattered shower and isolated thunderstorm chance up to a 30% shot. While severe weather is not anticipated, a strong thunderstorm is possible with gusty winds, brief heavy rain and cloud-to-ground lightning a concern.
The KBTX PinPoint Computer Forecast Model brings in our rain chances -- favoring the southern half of the area.
Isolated Storms Possible Each Day?
Sure. Not the highest quality of forecast dropping a 20% chance on each day, but it isn't out of the question to see an isolated, afternoon thunderstorm fire up in the heat of the day. Most will stay dry, but don't be surprised to see some rain activity pass you by anytime between Wednesday and the beginning of next week.
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