Summer officially kicks off in 9 days...aka next Friday...aka June 21st at 12:04am CDT (to be exact).
Even though we are living out the final days of Spring, that summer feel is already starting to take over the region and the Brazos Valley. It's been hot around here, but how about temperatures in the Oklahoma Panhandle topping off between 103° and 107° on Tuesday afternoon! At least we aren't cruising the thermometer that high just yet.
The Heat is On
...or as they say, "It's not the heat, it's the humidity." Afternoon highs are on their way to a range between 93° and 95° this afternoon in the Brazos Valley. Factor in dewpoints in the 70s (meaning lots of Gulf Moisture is sitting on top of us) and it will feel as hot as between 100° and 102° for many this afternoon. In fact, as of 11am, Brenham was already reporting in a heat index of 98°!
As a ridge of high pressure begins to flex its muscle over the eastern side of Texas, our temperatures are only slated to go up from here, heading into Thursday. We expect afternoon highs to run roughly 6°-8° ABOVE the average, in the upper 90s. Here's a look at the near 100° degree heat (without the heat index factored in) expected tomorrow:
Slight Chance of a Cooling Shower
There is a bit of a weakness in the ridge that is slated to bring even hotter temperatures on Thursday. That weakness is helping to allow for a slight chance of a few afternoon showers / rumbles of thunder in the Brazos Valley for today.
While it will be possible to see a touch of cooling rain, don't hold your breath (you'll be huffing and puffing from the heat anyway, so it'll be tough to hold it for long). Our rain chance is only tabbed at a 10% to maybe 20% before sunset tonight.
Most of the rain activity is expected to remain south and west of the Brazos Valley.
Next Few Days
We always talk about the upper levels and a ridge of high pressure this, a trough of low pressure that...yadda, yadda, yadda.
A pretty cool display of how weather systems drive each other happening through the end of the week. High pressure, which turns clockwise, will move to the east side of Texas. An area of low pressure (driving our slim rain chance), which turns counter-clockwise, will then slide to the western side of the state allowing for rain chances to move into that region. Basically, they are spinning and working together like gears in a watch. (I know, cool...right?).
Heading into the weekend, high pressure will weaken and flatten out to allow that area of low pressure to swing across North Texas. We will likely see a plethora of high clouds by Saturday as this feature drifts by, but rain chances will still remain slim to none.
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