Forecaster William Gray says he expects a very active hurricane season, but he's not yet giving likely numbers of named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes.
Gray told hundreds of people at the National Hurricane Conference on Thursday that the first numeric predictions will come out April 10.
Gray, head of Colorado State's Tropical Meteorology Project, says that only development of an El Nino could slow down the season, and that's looking less and less likely.
He also says the U.S. has been very lucky - the 16 years since 1995 have been an active period for hurricanes but most years were free of direct hits by storms with winds of 111 mph or more.
He said, "This just defies statistics."
The hurricane season runs from June through November.
To comment, the following rules must be followed:
If you believe a comment violates the above rules, please use the Flagging Tool to alert a Moderator.
Flagging does not guarantee removal.
Decisions to suspend or unsuspend accounts are made by Station Moderators.
Questions may be sent to firstname.lastname@example.org. Please provide detailed information.
Viewers with disabilities can get assistance accessing this station's FCC Public Inspection File by contacting the station with the information listed below. Questions or concerns relating to the accessibility of the FCC's online public file system should be directed to the FCC at 888-225-5322, 888-835-5322 (TTY), or email@example.com.