Much like the trend this past weekend, the Brazos Valley missed out on another shot of much needed rainfall Monday. We'll look for sunshine to filter back into the area Tuesday, before another chance of showers returns to the forecast.
Sunny, Mild, and Breezy
Monday was a bit off the mark -- in terms of Average Daytime Highs -- for this time of the year. The target high for March 24th is 74°. Thanks to mostly cloudy skies and a cold front that blew into the area over the weekend, afternoon highs only managed the mid / upper 60s for many.
Clouds clear from north to south, heading into Tuesday morning, allowing for overnight lows to fall to "chilly" once again. We'll start the day in the mid-40s across the area.
Sunshine is back in full force Tuesday, but will be fighting a few factors to warm things up. A breezy north wind at 10-15mph will stunt temperatures -- afternoon highs look to reach the upper 60s / low 70s.
All that said, still a great day to get out and enjoy some natural vitamin D. While you may need a light jacket before stepping out the door, it'll be worth it -- cloud cover looks to take the forecast back by Wednesday.
As of Monday, an upper-level low was currently spinning off the Southwest Coast of California.
That low will work towards the southern side of Arizona and New Mexico by Tuesday afternoon before arriving in West Texas / the Texas Panhandle Wednesday morning.
Mostly cloudy skies take over Wednesday, which will be factor #1 of keeping daytime highs in the mid-60s.
Factor #2 will be the rain and isolated thunderstorm chance that comes along with that upper-level rain maker skirting north of Texas.
A scattered rain chance looks to increase by the noon hour, and could continue off and on through sunset.
Some computer forecast models are "full speed ahead" with rain chances on Wednesday, while others are a little more reserved. We'll look at a 40% shot at that needed moisture. While some of us will have the chance to see rain on Wednesday, there is also the possibility that others will miss out completely.
Chances Won't End There
Thursday brings a surge of warm, moist air to the Brazos Valley. That, alongside a left over boundary draped across the area, will help to keep the rain and thunderstorm chance alive.
Sure, the chance isn't quite as good...but don't write it off. Should a shower manage to get up and running, it could become briefly strong -- heavy rain, lightning, thunder, and small hail could accompany any thunderstorm that manages to form.
Severe weather is not anticipated, but this is the time of the year that a couple rumbles of thunder will try to make an appearance from time to time.
We'll keep an eye on the forecast to fine tune when & where the best chance for rain will exist over the latter half of the week.
In the mean time, enjoy the sunny Brazos Valley skies while they are here.
-- Chief Meteorologist Shel Winkley