Thursday Evening Weather Blog (3/20): Spring Kicks off Great -- But Can It Last?

First day of Spring went splendidly across the Brazos Valley -- sunshine accompanied seasonable highs. We'll look for a few changes to move in on Friday, which will lead to a flip-flop in conditions by the weekend.

First Spring Friday

Hopefully you got your fill of sunshine on Thursday. Mostly cloudy skies will filter back into the Brazos Valley by Friday morning.

While we should get a good mix of sun and clouds, to wrap up the week, it won't be the wall-to-wall blue skies that were on hand to kick off the Spring season.

Increased cloud cover is change #1 for the area.

Change #2 -- breezy south to southeast winds. We'll look for a bit more sunshine to get through by the afternoon hours, which should help stir up gusts around 20mph at times.

Overall -- still a great day to get out and enjoy some time out of the house. Those southerly winds will help notch temperatures to the mid / upper 70s.

Spring Is Here -- But Don't Tell Winter That

It is clouds and breezy winds on Friday.

Change #3 & #4 -- rain chances and cooler weather return by Saturday afternoon / evening.

We'll look for a cold front to slice through Texas as we jump start the weekend. By the end of the afternoon, we'll look at temperatures in the mid-70s across the Brazos Valley, while folks up the road will find jacket weather as the thermometer tanks to the 40s and 50s.

PinPoint Forecast for 4pm Temperatures across Texas Saturday, March 22nd, 2014

With that cold front, a chance for showers and a stray rumble of thunder will pop up across the area:

PinPoint Forecast for 4pm "Future Radar" across Texas Saturday, March 22nd, 2014

Weekend Ends with a Chill

The graphic below can do most of the talking. Needless to say, just because it is Spring, doesn't mean that winter is ready to give up the ghost.

Sunday will find scattered, light showers and temperatures struggling to reach the mid / upper 50s.

Monday brings another shot of widespread showers and temperatures that could have a hard time making it to 50°.

Here is the *Grain-of-Salt-Cast*: When it is all said and done -- between Saturday afternoon and Monday evening -- the Brazos Valley could see anywhere around a few tenths of an inch of rain (Western / Central Counties) to 0.50"+ (areas along I-45 & points east).

Here's an early estimate, per the GFS Computer Forecast Model:

Stay Up-To-Date

There are still some details to tweak in that weekend forecast. The general idea is for cooler and soggy conditions to take over for a bit. That said, just how cool will be largely dependent on how overcast and rainy we remain. Updates later here on the Weather Page of KBTX.com...


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