Thick cloud cover kept the "lid" on thunderstorm development across the Brazos Valley Thursday. While the chance isn't widespread, there will be another shot at a few showers / isolated thunderstorms Friday afternoon. Should storms fire up, a few could be strong to severe.
Drought Settles In
The past handful of rain chances for the Brazos Valley have left a little rain here and there -- but overall, have been lackluster in bringing much needed rainfall to the area.
As we continue through a spell of "light rain here and there, but nothing significant" -- the Brazos Valley continues to slip a bit closer to the next stage of drought.
Much like the past several weeks, a majority of the area remains in a "Moderate Drought" -- with troubling signs ahead. Areas just north of Leon and Houston Counties have slipped into a "Severe Drought" -- D2 drought classification. That update comes as of the latest Drought Monitor issued Thursday, March 27th.
If significant rainfall continues to dodge the area, that D2 classification could stretch into the Northeastern corner of the area.
Another Afternoon -- Another Storm Chance
The Storm Prediction Center, as of Thursday, placed most of East Texas under a "SLIGHT RISK" for severe thunderstorms. (area below in yellow). That includes all of the Brazos Valley.
While we are not looking for a widespread severe weather threat, Friday, any thunderstorm that manages to fire up could build quickly.
Should a severe thunderstorm manage to form, it could bring brief quarter sized hail and winds in excess of 60mph.
Main Time Window for Thunderstorms Friday: 3pm - 7pm
PinPoint Computer Model - "Future Radar"
Below is a look at the Thursday afternoon PinPoint Computer Forecast for what the radar could look like on Thursday.
Again, remember that not everyone will see shower or thunderstorm activity Friday. While this isn't a concrete outlook on what will happen, it does give a general idea of how activity could act during the afternoon hours.
Overall Rain Chance is 30%
Cold Front Brings Clearing For the Weekend
Regardless of if we can get the rain we need Friday -- we'll shut down the rain chance as a cold front sweeps through the area by breakfast Saturday.
Sunshine returns to the Brazos Valley -- afternoon highs will "cool" down to the mid 70s both Saturday and Sunday.
May not be the rain we need -- but not bad -- at all -- to get out and enjoy some beautiful Spring weather.
Interactive PinPoint Radar
As we track the potential for rain and a few thunderstorms on Thursday, you can do the same with Interactive PinPoint Radar.