Tropical Storm Karen

By: KBTX Weather Email
By: KBTX Weather Email

Tropical Storm Karen formed on Thursday morning in the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico. A strong cold front moving in from the Northwest is expected to push Karen in a Northeastward direction. Warm waters and favorable environmental conditions will allow for Karen to strengthen over the next few days. The tropical storm is expected to reach Hurricane strength by Friday afternoon.

FRIDAY EVENING UPDATE
Location: 25.9°N 90.3°W
Max Wind: 50 MPH
Movement: Stationary
Minimum Pressure: 1002 mb

Tropical Storm Karen is sitting still in the Gulf of Mexico this evening, as of the 7pm update.

Tropical storm force winds can be felt 140 miles out from the center of this system -- mainly on the northern and eastern sides of the storm. That said, Karen is sitting 235 miles south / southwest of the Mouth of the Mississippi and 270 miles south / southeast of Morgan City, Louisiana.

Hurricane Watches and warnings have been cancelled for parts of the Gulf Coast, however, Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain and east of the mouth of the Pearl River and over to Indian Pass Florida.

The western side of this tropical storm continues to struggle -- and the circulation on that side of the system is naked -- due to drier air and wind shear in the Western Gulf of Mexico. Regardless, this system is still forecast to make landfall over the weekend and then be carried into the Southeastern United States as an post-tropical low.

A cold front will keep this system away from Texas and the Brazos Valley.

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FRIDAY MORNING UPDATE
Location: 24.9°N 89.8°W
Max Wind: 60 MPH
Movement: NW at 10 MPH
Minimum Pressure: 1002 mb

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Tropical Storm Karen has slightly weakened over the evening but some strengthening is expected Saturday into Saturday night. Karen is expected make a turn toward the North this afternoon and decrease in forward speed.

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THURSDAY EVENING UPDATE
Location: 24.2°N 89.0°W
Max Wind: 65 MPH
Movement: NNW at 10 MPH
Minimum Pressure: 999 mb

Tropical storm Karen is moving pretty slowly northward across the Gulf of Mexico. The storm has also been extensively surveyed by the Hurricane Hunters. By tomorrow, the storm will start moving slower towards the north, possibly gaining strength to hurricane status by late Friday or early Saturday.

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THURSDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE
Location: 23.3°N 88.5°W
Max Wind: 65 MPH
Movement: NNW at 12 MPH
Minimum Pressure: 999 mb

Tropical storm warnings have already been issued for some of southeastern Louisiana. Karen is expected to make a turn towards the north and decrease forward speed during the next 48 hours. On Saturday, the eye of the storm should be just off of the coast of Louisiana.

Some strengthening is expected with this storm before it makes landfall. There is a possibility Karen could be a category 1 hurricane by late Friday or early Saturday.

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THURSDAY MIDDAY UPDATE
Location: 22.2°N 87.9°W
Max Wind: 65 MPH
Movement: NNW at 12 MPH
Minimum Pressure: 1004 mb

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THURSDAY MORNING UPDATE
Location: 22.0°N 87.6°W
Max Wind: 60 MPH
Movement: NNW 13 MPH
Minimum Pressure: 1004 mb

Most of the models agree that the storm will take a sharp turn towards the Northeast once it makes landfall. An upper level trough moving in from the Northwest is expected to steer the storm further east.


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