Tuesday Evening Weather Blog (1/7): Warmer Winds Prevail & Rain Chances Increase

The coldest morning in almost three years occurred in the Brazos Valley Tuesday. While still very cold, temperatures started on a warming trend that will take us near 70° by the end of the week. Rain chances are back in the forecast as well.

Warmer Wind But Still Adding a Chill

South to southeast winds have made their return to the Brazos Valley.

With those winds came warmer temperatures -- at least compared to Monday afternoon -- and an increase in cloud cover Tuesday. While still considered cool, we'll look for a "warmer" day on tap for Wednesday.

Afternoon highs reach the low-to-mid 50s by the end of business Wednesday. Still looking at highs running 8° to 10° below the average for this time in early January -- but a good 20° warmer than we achieved Monday afternoon.

While southerly winds will be the catalyst to our middle-to-late week warm up, they will still add a chill factor to your Wednesday. As winds blow through at 10-15mph, they'll interact with a chilly air mass to bring a small wind chill through the day. Here's what is expected:

Top, Red Line = Temperatures. Bottom, Blue Line = Wind Chill.

Southerly Wind Brings Warmer Temperatures, but also Rain Chances

Moisture is going to be a big player in our forecast -- helping to drive those temperatures into the upper 60s to low 70s by Friday afternoon.

That same moisture will bring a primarily overcast outlook to the Brazos Valley over the next three days.

Last time the Brazos Valley saw rainfall? The weekend before Christmas. About time we get more, right? Stand by...

Starting Wednesday, we'll work in a chance for light, scattered showers to reach the Brazos Valley. (40%)

Miss out Wednesday? No worries, we'll get another chance on Thursday (40%) as we weak boundary drifts into the area.

Friday morning and you still haven't found rain in your backyard? Again...no worries, we'll look for one more -- and best -- chance to cruise into the forecast by late Friday / Friday evening. An upper level trough will swing into Texas from the west. That should provide the lift to see widespread rain and isolated thunderstorms in the Brazos Valley.

As of this forecast -- we're looking at parts of the area to pick up the first decent rainfall of the year. By sunrise Saturday, we could find anywhere between 0.50" and 1.25" of rainfall in area rain gauges.

More on this developing system as the week progresses. For now -- you'll still need that warm layer of clothing, but we'll add an umbrella to the items you grab on the way out the door. Next update comes your way anytime on the weather page, during our Wednesday forecasts, or right here Wednesday evening.
--Chief Meteorologist Shel Winkley

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