Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible, across the Brazos Valley, this afternoon and evening. Winds in excess of 40-60mph are the main concern, within the strongest activity. An isolated, brief tornado threat cannot be ruled out. Heavy rainfall between 1" and 3" has the potential to cause localized flash flooding in a few locations.
Sunshine returned to the Brazos Valley on Wednesday -- a trend that will continue through the rest of the week. Freeze Warnings are posted for parts of the Brazos Valley, heading into Thanksgiving morning.
Widespread Brazos Valley Freeze
Skies are mostly clear, as of Wednesday evening, allowing temperatures to fall off quickly into the twilight hours. Even with a deck of mid / high level clouds moving into the Brazos Valley, we expect to wake up to some very cold temperatures Thursday morning.
While most of the Brazos Valley has already had an official first freeze this season, parts of Austin, Montgomery, Waller, and Washington Counties have yet to make it to 32° for a handful of hours. Due to that, the National Weather Service has placed the Southern Brazos Valley under a Freeze Warning through 8am Thursday.
Regardless, the entire area is expect to drop either into the upper 20s or the low 30s by sunrise Thanksgiving morning. Expect temperatures to remain at or below the 32° mark between 5 to 8 hours overnight.
Other than a frigid & frosty start -- we'll look at a deck of high to mid-level moisture to move over the Brazos Valley tonight.
We'll wake up to a bit of broken cloud cover for our Thursday morning. By mid-morning to midday, those clouds make an exit to the east and mostly sunny skies return to wrap up our Thanksgiving day.
While you'll likely even notice a breeze, winds will turn back out of the southeast by Thursday afternoon. Slowly and surely, moisture will make a return -- along with warming temperatures. We'll start that "warming" trend with afternoon highs reaching the mid-50s by Thursday afternoon.
Planning on sitting in a line all night long to get in on those Black Friday deals? Be sure to bundle up.
While temperatures are expected to remain just above freezing for most of the Brazos Valley Friday morning...it won't be by much. Overnight lows will crater into the mid-30s for Friday's start temperature.
We'll look at a quiet weather pattern heading into your weekend. Overnight lows will eventually work their way back into the 40s and 50s, while daytime highs top the mid to upper 60s by Saturday and Sunday afternoons.
Our next rain chance won't kick in until early next week as we await the arrival of our next cold front to kick off the month of December in typical late fall fashion.
Have a Happy and Safe Thanksgiving. Eat a turkey leg for me!
--Chief Meteorologist Shel Winkley
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