Wednesday Evening Weather Blog (4/23): Splash of Rain Here, Isolated Storm There


Warmer temperatures have taken over the forecast for the Brazos Valley. We'll stay on that mid-80s trend for the next several days, as we attempt to find needed rainfall across the area.

Not Much to Hope For

Read that last sentence one more time -- and focus in on "Beneficial Rainfall" ...........

As of Wednesday evening, the Brazos Valley is sitting 6.14" BEHIND on rainfall for the year -- with only 5.02" falling since the beginning of the 2014.

We have a rain chance here and there in the forecast -- but it doesn't promise to drop the soaking rain that we need.

Here's the latest chances --

Thursday

As of Wednesday evening, severe thunderstorms were moving out of the Texas Panhandle and into the Western side of Oklahoma.

The same system driving those storms will drag a weak boundary across our backyard Thursday evening.

We'll look for a 20% shot at a spotty, broken line of rain & isolated thunderstorms by the late afternoon hours / early evening hours of Thursday.

PinPoint Computer Forecast Model "Future Radar" for Thursday

Best chance for shower / isolated storm chance to materialize -- 5pm to 9pm. Severe weather is not anticipated -- gusty winds, brief downpours and possibly pea sized hail could accompany stronger storms.

Re-Racking For the Weekend

An upper-level weather maker is expected to make a bit of noise for a large part of the country starting this weekend.

It is currently a swirl of clouds stretched from the Pacific Northwest to the Gulf of Alaska.

Once that system takes shape, I'll move across the Rockies in a "Negative Tilt" fashion. When storm systems take that tilt, it typically means they'll bring a shot at nasty, severe weather along with them.

This will likely be a multi-day event, with the first chance at rough storms occurring in the Eastern Panhandle Saturday afternoon.

Below is the extended outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:


Red = Saturday, Purple = Sunday, Green = Monday

**IF** we were to find severe thunderstorms here at home, it would likely occur on Sunday -- 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms by afternoon.

A severe weather threat could occur from Hwy 21, and points to the north. Large hail and damaging winds are the main concern.

After the storm chance exists, to start next week, we potentially have a good amount of air conditioning headed our way.

That same low will sluggishly move to the Northeast of Texas. Breezy north winds will drag in cooler air to the State. We're looking at highs in the 60s and 70s for part of next week!


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