Ernesto Updates

By: Bob French
By: Bob French


Wednesday Evening

Ernesto has strengthened a bit as it moves offshore into the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico.  At 10pm, the center was located near 18.8N and 91.8W and moving to the West at 7 mph.  Winds are back up to 65 mph, and Ernesto could become a hurricane again before making landfall along the coast of Mexico south of Vera Cruz.  See the updated forecast map below.


Wednesday Afternoon

Ernesto made it across the Yucatan Peninsula with some strength left, winds still at 50mph as it emerges into the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico.  At 4pm, the center was near latitude 18.9N and longitude 91.5 W moving West at 13 mph.  This track is expected to continue with the tropical storm making a second landfall and moving inland over southern Mexico.


Wednesday Morning

Ernesto made landfall overnight along the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula where a minimum pressure of 979.4mb was recorded.

Since then, Ernesto has weakened back down to a Tropical Storm as it continues to cross over the Yucatan region.  Movement is to the west at 15mph.  

The official forecast takes Ernesto back out into the open waters of the Bay of Campeche (in the far southern reaches of the Gulf of Mexico) where we could possibly see Ernesto reach hurricane strength once again.  Erneso will make landfall again, but it will likely be in the Southern Region of Mexico just west of the Bay of Campeche.



10:00PM CDT, August 7th:

Location: 18.7° N, 87.7° W, 40 miles ENE of Chetumal, Mexico.

Max Winds: 85 mph.

Movement to the West at 15 mph.

Min Pressure:  980 mb.



As of 4:00PM CDT, August 7th:

Hurricane Ernesto.

Saffir-Simpson Category 1.

Located at 18.8°N, 86.2°W.  This is near the southeastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.

Movement: west-northwest at 15mph.

Minimum pressure at center: 983mb

Maximum sustained winds: 81mph


Hurricane Ernesto is finally starting to look like an organized tropical cyclone just in time for landfall along the Yucatan.  Hurricane Warnings are in effect for the coastline along the peninsula, which comprises of residents of Mexico and Belize.  Nearly all models used to predict this storm's track are in agreement that once this storm moves off the coast into the southern gulf, it will continue on its westward track, regain strength, and then make landfall again in Mexico.  The expected track of this storm means that it won't have any effect on our weather here in the Brazos Valley.




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