The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of disturbed weather off the East Coast of Florida. Should it develop, it could become the first named storm of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
As of 9pm Monday, the current discussion from the National Hurricane Center was as such:
Satellite and radar images indicate that showers and thunderstorms
associated with the low pressure area located about 90 miles east of
Vero Beach, Florida, have changed little in organization during the
last few hours. Environmental conditions continue to be favorable
for development, and only a slight increase in the organization and
persistence of the thunderstorm activity would result in the
formation of a tropical depression. The low is moving
southwestward at about 5 mph, but is expected to turn westward
tonight and northward by Wednesday when it will be near the east
coast of Florida. If this system becomes a tropical cyclone, a
tropical storm watch could be required for portions of the central
or northern Atlantic coast of Florida. A turn toward the northeast
near the southeastern U.S. coast is expected by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
An Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft investigated the storm system earlier Monday afternoon. While it did find an area of low pressure 110 miles east of Melbourne, Florida -- the well defined area was lacking associated thunderstorm development. The activity was classified as just below the threshold required to initiate tropical cyclone advisories.
Winds are sustained around 30 to 35mph around the center of this low pressure.
Another reconnaissance plane is anticipated to investigate this area again by Tuesday afternoon.
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