Friday Evening Weather Blog (3/14): Update on Weekend Storms / Cold Front


As an upper-level weather maker moves east out of New Mexico, shower and thunderstorm chances will increase across the Brazos Valley, along with most of East Texas, Saturday. Colder air filters into the area on Sunday.

Showers and Thunderstorms -- Some Possibly Severe

Plans on Saturday? If they take you outside in the morning or early afternoon hours, you may want to snag that umbrella.

We'll look for a chance of spotty showers first thing in the morning through the 3pm hour (20%). While these won't be event / plan cancelling showers, it will add a bit of a "splash-n-dash" variety to your day.

During the early afternoon hours, a potential line of rain and thunderstorms will try to form to the north and west of the Brazos Valley and I-35.

That line of showers and storms will attempt to slowly work east towards our backyard, by (possibly) as early at 5pm.

The forecast calls for an overcast day on Saturday. That cloud cover will hinder thunderstorm development, due to its ability to keep a somewhat stable atmosphere above. That said, should our upper-level system or potential line of storms create enough "lift" in the area, that will help develop showers and thunderstorms here at home.

If that were to happen, a few storms could become strong to severe -- with the main threat being:


  • Hail

  • Damaging Winds: 50-60mph

While the *chance* is there for a few severe thunderstorms, the overall threat level remains low to moderate. The best chance to find one of these stronger storms exists over the northern tier of the Brazos Valley (aka Milam, Robertson, Leon, and Houston Counties).

You can keep up with the latest development by checking Interactive PinPoint Radar.

Sunday Brings Gusty, Cold Winds

Not looking for much luck from the Irish when it comes to sticking to these warmer temperatures.

Sunday morning brings the chance for another thin line of showers to the Brazos Valley. Enter our cold front...

We'll start the day in the mid-60s. Thanks to a brisk north / northwest wind at 15-25mph, we'll look for temperatures to steadily fall through the 50s through the day.

By the end of Sunday afternoon, temperatures are expected to run in the low 50s -- with possible wind chills in the low 40s.

Potential Wind Chills at 7pm Sunday

We'll be keeping a watchful eye on PinPoint Radar this weekend. Should anything get too big for its britches, we'll get up up to date here at KBTX.com, and of course on our Facebook and Twitter pages.

Have a great weekend. We'll be in touch...

-- Chief Meteorologist Shel Winkley


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