Tuesday Evening Weather Blog (2/18): Spring Served Up on a Silver Platter

You asked for warmer temperatures -- and Mother Nature has obliged. Highs reached the upper 70s & low 80s again on Tuesday afternoon. A few more warm & breezy days are in store, before our next cold front arrives.

Mild Weather Lingers

February has brought quite the temperature swing. If you haven't forgotten already -- we started last week with temperatures trapped in the 30s and low 40s.

Southerly winds have switched things up quite a bit, along with a lack of cold fronts. Hopefully you are enjoying it -- we'll keep these spring-like temperatures for a couple more days.

While breezy south winds are helping to bring warmer conditions to area thermometers, it is also kicking in a few, old spring friends as well. Humidity has crept up across the Brazos Valley, which in turn is helping create overcast conditions and morning patchy fog. As long as you are at peace with the downside of warmer weather -- it looks to be a great Wednesday to get outside to.

Next Cold Front En Route

Thursday afternoon brings an end to temperatures more suited for April standards. While we are looking for cooler conditions -- we are not going to call for a big chill to move back into the Brazos Valley.

Mid-afternoon temperatures are expected to top off in the mid / upper 70s Thursday:

Once north winds kick in, we'll watch the thermometer take a small dive towards the lower / mid 60s to wrap up the late afternoon:

At the coldest, this new air mass will bring temperatures down to the (sweater worthy) upper 30s / low 40s Friday morning. Afternoon highs are still expected to top off around the seasonable 60s.

Rain / Thunderstorm Chance

This next cold front could help spark a broken line of scattered showers and even an isolated rumble of thunder / flash of lightning.

Severe weather is NOT anticipated at this time, for the Brazos Valley.

While the chance of rain is in the forecast -- it is not spectacular. We'll call for a 30% chance of rain / thunderstorms ahead of supper time Thursday.

Thursday doesn't look consumed with worry for severe weather here at home, but that won't quite be the case for parts of the country north and east of our backyard.

Areas in the picture above, shaded in yellow, are under a SLIGHT RISK for severe thunderstorms. Strong, damaging winds seem to be the main threat along that line of storms, further north, aligned on the cold front.

Special interests for folks under that slight chance? Here's the direct link for the Storm Prediction Center's Convective Outlooks.

A Stronger Front to Monitor

This is your grain-of-salt cast....

Extended computer models are trying to hone in on the next big cold front in store for the Brazos Valley, one week from today.

As of this evening, data is suggesting that temperatures may fall from the low 70s to the low 50s late Tuesday afternoon...only to be followed by the thermometer struggling to reach 50° Wednesday.

Something to keep in the back of your mind -- but not anything to have you running to find those heavier coats just yet. Plenty could / will change with this outlook over the next several days.


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