National Hurricane Center gives medium odds for Southeast US tropical system

A brief tropical depression or storm may form before moving inland late Monday
Published: Jun. 27, 2021 at 8:48 PM CDT
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BRYAN, Texas (KBTX) - The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two areas of interest in the Atlantic Ocean Sunday evening. Neither potential system is expected to bring impacts to Texas. Development or not, they will aid in keeping a rainy outlook in the forecast for the Southeast through Independence Day Weekend.

Below is the latest from the Hurricane Center, as of 7 pm Sunday:

  • A small low-pressure system (noted in orange above) is located about 425 miles east-southeast of Savannah, Georgia. During the day Sunday, shower and thunderstorm activity associated with it has become less organized. Strong upper-level winds have displaced what is left of that activity to the northwest of the center. This area of interest is expected to move quickly west-northwest at 15-20mph, crossing warmer waters of the Gulf Stream Monday morning. This is where there is a medium potential for the low to form into a tropical depression or tropical storm before reaching the coast of Georgia or South Carolina by Monday evening. Tropical storm warnings could be required there with short notice. | Development odds: 48-hour: 50%, 5-Day: 50%
Forecast models for the area of interest pointed toward the Georgia / South Carolina coast.
Forecast models for the area of interest pointed toward the Georgia / South Carolina coast.(KBTX)
  • An area of low pressure (noted in yellow above) associated with a tropical wave is producing a small cluster of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Some slow development is possible through the end of the week while this system moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at about 20mph, likely reaching the Lesser Antilles late Wednesday or Wednesday night. | Development odds: 48-hour: 20%, 5-Day: 30%

A tropical wave moving out of the Gulf of Mexico brought scattered rain and non-severe thunderstorms to the Brazos Valley Sunday. As a large slug of tropical moisture moves into Southeast and Central Texas, widespread rain and storms are expected to develop again Monday. More details are included in the video above.

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