Tornado Watch EXPIRED for the Brazos Valley; storms continue
Brief, weak spin-up or two possible inside of a greater wind concern
BRYAN, Texas (KBTX) - A broken line of rain and (mostly) non-severe thunderstorms is moving east across the Brazos Valley early this Monday morning. Storm activity is expected to pass through and end for the area by 3-5am.
The Tornado Watch that previously was in place for the northern Brazos Valley was allowed to expire at 2am. There are no active watches in effect for the Brazos Valley at this time
TIMING OF BRAZOS VALLEY STORMS
• Midnight to 5 am
As of 11pm, a line of strong storms capable of wind gusts in excess of 30-40mph was spilling over I-35. Storm timing is on track to reach the northern tier of the area between 11:30pm and 12am.
As the line continues east and south through the first hours of Monday, they are anticipated to continue weakening and likely become more scattered throughout the area.
SEVERE WEATHER CONCERN
Overall severe weather potential for the Brazos Valley is low / isolated -- but not zero. The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the area under a “marginal” 1 out of 5 risk through sunrise Monday. Should a storm need extra attention, the concerns would be (in order):
- Strong, possibly damaging, wind gusts in excess of 40 to 60mph
- Hail between the size of a nickel and a quarter
- Brief spin-up tornado (mainly for north and northwestern counties)
Rain totals are not expected to be uniform across the Brazos Valley through this event. Widespread 0.25″ to 0.4″ of rain is possible, with localized 0.5″ to 1″ totals possible under any stronger storms -- particularly the northern Brazos Valley.
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER
A “moderate” 4 out of 5 risk for severe weather is expected across parts of Oklahoma and far North Texas. Discrete supercell storms are expected to rapidly develop during the early evening hours as this event begins. All types of severe weather will be possible, with hail up the size of baseballs, wind gusts to 80mph, and possible tornadoes. As storms continue to evolve into the overnight hours, those discrete storms will form into a line creating more of a damaging wind potential for eastern Oklahoma and Northeast Texas.
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