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Thanksgiving cold front expected to ruffle some feathers

Messy morning travel expected with heavy rain passing through parts of the Brazos Valley
Widespread rain and thunderstorms expected across the Brazos Valley midnight - noon Thanksgiving
Widespread rain and thunderstorms expected across the Brazos Valley midnight - noon Thanksgiving(KBTX)
Published: Nov. 22, 2021 at 9:24 PM CST|Updated: Nov. 23, 2021 at 9:04 PM CST
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BRYAN, Texas (KBTX) - A strong cold front is scheduled to arrive Thanksgiving morning in the Brazos Valley. While this front will bring a festive chill to the day, it will likely make a mess of any planned morning travel or turkey frying for the holiday. Something to consider as we start the day with a likely chance for rain and thunderstorms.

Timing of Thanksgiving Day's cold front and when rain and thunderstorms (generally) come to an...
Timing of Thanksgiving Day's cold front and when rain and thunderstorms (generally) come to an end.(KBTX)

THANKSGIVING MORNING

A cold front is expected to reach the northern Brazos Valley by or shortly after sunrise Thursday. As a gusty north wind flips in, a line of thunderstorms will likely fill in along the leading edge of that chilly air. Ample moisture will be on hand throughout the atmosphere for the front to tap into, leading to areas of locally heavy rain throughout the morning hours.

  • TIMING: Scattered rain, few thunderstorms are possible as early as midnight - 3am Thursday. Main round of active weather / line of storms: 6am - 11am
  • RAINFALL: Widespread 0.75″ to 1.5″ expected, with localized higher totals upwards of 2″ - 3″ possible further south
  • WIND GUSTS: While storms are not expected to be severe, stronger storms could push occasional wind gusts upwards of 30-40mph

The record rainfall for a Thanksgiving Day in Bryan-College Station: 0.85″ set 108 years ago in 1913. That record could easily be reached or broken if this rain event comes together as planned. The record rainfall for November 25th: 1.37″, set 35 years ago in 1986.

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THANKSGIVING AFTERNOON

After the rain moves by, temperatures will quickly fall 10° - 15°. Sunrise thermometers in the upper 60s to 70° will find themselves in the upper 50s by noon for much / all of the area. Factor in the overcast skies and a breezy, somewhat brisk north wind through the afternoon and temperatures will struggle to warm back to the low 60s. Speaking of the wind, gusts 25-35mph are expected to kick up now and again. Something to be mindful of if you are smoking or frying the turkey this year.

Brazos Valley Thanksgiving Day Forecast
Brazos Valley Thanksgiving Day Forecast(KBTX)

REST OF THE THANKSGIVING WEEKEND

Generally, overcast skies should keep that festive feeling in place for Friday activities. Highs are only slated to reach the mid-to-upper 50s. Another day with a breezy, brisk north wind on hand will add a caution for those climbing on ladders to get Christmas lights hung on the house. Saturday brings thick clouds at the least, scattered rain adding another 1/4″ to 1/2″ of water to gauges at the most (50%). Those passing showers and drippy skies are expected by mid-to-late afternoon and into the evening hours.

A second round of light, scattered rain expected Saturday afternoon and evening
A second round of light, scattered rain expected Saturday afternoon and evening(KBTX)

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