Tropics awaken, eyes on gulf system for this week

The National Hurricane Center is keeping tabs on three separate areas to watch in the tropics.
The National Hurricane Center is keeping tabs on three separate areas to watch in the tropics.(KBTX)
Published: Jun. 27, 2022 at 8:00 AM CDT|Updated: Jun. 27, 2022 at 4:37 PM CDT
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BRYAN, Texas (KBTX) - For the first time all season, the National Hurricane Center has 3 “areas to watch” in its 5 day outlook.

First and foremost, we’ll talk the system closest (and most likely to affect) Texas. A weak low pressure system will continue to drift southwestward through the gulf toward Texas over the course of the week. Overall, development into a tropical system is possible, but not likely at the moment. Either way, this means some needed rain falling for at least the southern half of the state through the end of the week.

Assuming this system stays “messy”, we will keep the forecast for scattered afternoon showers and a couple storms each day this week and potentially a bit into the holiday weekend. Widespread totals of an inch or more still look likely, especially farther south. IF this system organizes, the track of the system will play a large role in where the heaviest rain occurs. As always, we’ll keep you updated as we get a clearer picture.

The activity with the highest chance for development is one we have been tracking since late last week. As of the 4pm update, the NHC has started issuing advisories on the system, now calling it Potential Tropical Cyclone Two. This essentially means that while the system has not technically reached the criteria necessary to be classified as a tropical storm due to the lack of a defined center of circulation, it is expected to do so in the near future as it churns over the warm waters of the Atlantic. Hurricane Hunters have flown into the system and found that it is already producing tropical storm-force winds, but has yet to develop a well defined center of circulation needed to gain that classification. The wave will work toward the Windward Islands into Wednesday.

Another area to watch includes a tropical wave southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with a low overall chance of development over the next few days. This is just a sign that a forecasted active hurricane season is beginning to finally get more active as we finish the last days of June and head into July.

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